Finally waiting for you to post, it would be even better if there were pictures.
笔谈
--
$BTC
The whole market remains calm, do not get overexcited. To be honest, BTC's trend is a bit weak. From the overall KC channel and the long-term weekly and daily trends, there are three possible scenarios: 1. In the long term: The first scenario is that it can't break 94,000, leading to a weak rebound, followed by a direct reorganization of the C wave. The probability of this is relatively high. The second scenario, which has a slightly lower probability, is a direct pullback to 0.618 (around 102,000). The third scenario, which has the lowest probability, is a direct postponement of the bull market. The ratio is roughly 5.5:3.5:1. 2. In the short term: ✔ RSI divergence rebound appears ✔ KC lower band quickly rebounds ✔ The angle of moving averages is still downward → the nature of the rebound is a "corrective rebound" The most likely trends in the next two weeks: The first scenario continues to rebound to 94,000 (strong resistance) → then falls back for consolidation. The second scenario is a strong breakout → pushing towards 98,000–112,000. But it must: increase in volume, RSI stabilizing above 50, 4-hour MA50 must be crossed. The third scenario is an early end to the rebound → falling back to 86,000–88,000. The ratio is roughly 6:3:1.
But regardless of the trend, we must follow the market. Technical indicators can only solve 70% of the problems; the remaining 30% cannot be solved by technology.
{spot}(BTCUSDT)
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content.See T&Cs.