94% Interest Rate Cut Party Alert: Don't be the Last Bag Holder!
Polymarket platform data explodes: The betting probability for "Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December" skyrocketed to 94%, with $260 million in real cash pouring into this expectation, and the market is nearly boiling with excitement.
But behind the celebration lies a deadly trap: when a positive signal is widely known and wildly speculated, it has already been priced in ahead of time.
Institutions and major players have already positioned themselves, just waiting for "buy the expectation, sell the fact" — the day the interest rate cut is announced will be the time for massive profit-taking and exit. Pursuing high prices now is merely helping those who entered early.
Retail investors can break the deadlock with just 3 strategies:
1. Refuse to be "positive fuel": The more enthusiastic the sentiment, the more one must stay calm and never chase high prices on assets that have already exhausted the interest rate cut expectations, to avoid buying at high levels.
2. Keep a close eye on the "real actions": Don't be deceived by the news; focus on whether BTC and ETH can break through previous highs with volume. If they only "wiggle" or spike and then fall back, it’s a dangerous signal; solid breakthroughs are the true signals for capital entry.
3. Split the bullets into three parts: Currently, only use a very small position to test, and set a stop-loss. Main ammunition should be reserved for two opportunities: the panic low after "selling the fact" or the confirmation signal of continued capital inflow after the interest rate cut.
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