#美联储降息周期 The Federal Reserve's expectations for easing continue, economists predict another rate cut in December

According to analysis from multiple institutions, the Federal Reserve is expected to announce its third rate cut of the year on December 10 (around 3 AM Beijing time), continuing the current easing policy direction. The market further anticipates that if economic data shows weakness, there may be at least two more rate cuts in 2026.

Core dynamics summary

· Recent path: Following rate cuts in September and October, the December interest rate decision is highly anticipated.

· Policy motivation: Pressure in the job market and risks of economic downturn are important considerations for policy adjustments.

· Long-term outlook: There may be further rate cut space in March 2026 and the second half of the year.

Potential impact on the cryptocurrency market

Historically, the release of liquidity often helps the performance of risk asset prices. A rate cut environment could drive some funds into high-risk areas such as cryptocurrency assets, and long-term liquidity expectations also provide fundamental support for the market.

Risk points to watch

The market generally exhibits a volatility characteristic of "buy the expectation, sell the fact." If the rate cut magnitude fully meets expectations, short-term market fluctuations may occur. Investors are advised to remain rational, avoid excessive leverage, and pay attention to position management.

Key time nodes

1. December 10: Federal Reserve interest rate decision and Chair Powell's press conference.

2. March 2026: May become an important window to observe subsequent policy direction.

In the context of the current macro policy gradually shifting towards easing, the market liquidity environment is expected to continue improving. Investors are advised to closely monitor policy trends and economic data, rationally position themselves, and calmly respond to market changes.$ETH $BTC