📌 Key Events of the Week (8–12 December 2025)

🇺🇸 United States – Federal Reserve (Most Important)

* Expected to decrease by 25 basis points for the third time.

* The decision is not unanimous due to the strength of the economy.

* Federal forecasts: Relative stability without major changes.

* The Dot Plot indicates only one or two decreases in 2026.

* The speech is likely to be more hawkish → slowing the pace of cuts.

Impact:

* Temporary strength of the dollar.

* Pressure on gold and stocks if the tone is hawkish.

🇦🇺 Australia – Reserve Bank of Australia

* Expected to hold interest rates steady.

* Inflation and the labor market are higher than expected, but there is no intention to raise soon.

* Markets are pricing in a hike late in 2026.

Impact:

A steady movement on AUD unless the bank hints at tightening.

🇨🇦 Canada – Bank of Canada

* Strong data: Employment + Growth + Inflation higher than expected.

* The bank sees interest rates at approximately the appropriate level.

* No cuts currently… and no hikes expected.

Impact:

Slight support for CAD if the bank speaks seriously about inflation.