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In the last two weeks, over 25,000
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15 years ago today marked Satoshi's final public activity.
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🇯🇵 Japan Looks Set to Break Its 11-Month Rate Pause — This Week Could Be Historic All eyes are on the Bank of Japan’s policy meeting on December 18–19, 2025 — when markets are pricing in a strong chance of the first rate hike since January. Most economists expect the BOJ to lift its policy rate from 0.50% to 0.75% at that meeting, potentially marking the start of a broader tightening cycle. These expectations aren’t just talk — surveys show around 90% of analysts now see a December hike as likely, and many think rates could climb to 1.0% or higher by late 2026 if inflation and wage trends stay strong. Kazuo Ueda, the governor, has hinted that rising long-term yields and underlying inflation trends are big deals when it comes to this decision, and they'll be keeping a close eye on things like corporate wage plans before the vote. • Timing: Announcement expected at the end of the BOJ meeting on Dec 19 (JST). • Expected move: ~25 basis points hike to 0.75% first, with potential further hikes ahead. • Why now: Inflation persistent, long yields rising, and yen volatility becoming a bigger factor. This is a rare monetary pivot for Japan — a nation that’s kept ultra-loose policy for years. If it happens, expect JPY strength, bond sell-offs, and equity rotation as global markets adjust to tighter Japanese policy. #WhaleWatch
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Foreign Investors Are Quietly Exiting Emerging-Market Debt… and the Ripple Effect Is Getting Loud 🌍 The latest data shows a clear trend: foreign investors are pulling capital out of local-currency bonds across emerging markets. From Peru and South Africa all the way to India and Kenya, the “latest” exposure (pink dots) is sitting near the bottom of its decade-long range — or even breaking new lows. And when global money steps back, someone has to step in. Right now, that burden is falling on local buyers, who are being forced to absorb the supply. This shift matters because it amplifies vulnerability. Without strong external demand, these countries face tighter funding conditions, higher borrowing costs, and deeper sensitivity to currency swings. A sudden FX move or macro shock can hit harder when foreign participation dries up. What we’re watching isn’t just a portfolio rebalancing — it’s a structural warning. When global capital retreats from sovereign debt, pressure often spills into equities, currency markets, and eventually local consumers. #TrumpTariffs #BTCVSGOLD
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Vanguard Throws Shade at BITCOIN… but Also Admits Its Hidden Power 👀 John Ameriks — Global Head of Quantitative Equity at Vanguard — just compared #Bitcoin to collectible toys, calling it a purely speculative asset. Harsh words from one of TradFi’s biggest players… but here’s where it gets interesting. Even while criticizing it, Ameriks couldn’t ignore the truth: Bitcoin shines when fiat currencies don’t. When things get crazy with inflation, politics, or money systems, #BTC isn't just a game – it's like, essential. It's a global, borderless, censorship-proof way to store value that actually works in the real world. This is the same pattern we’ve seen for years: First they dismiss it… Then they fight it… Then they accept its use case… And eventually, they adopt it.
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🇺🇸 Over 50% of adult Americans indicate that inflation is exceeding their income. - Yahoo Finance. #TrumpTariffs
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