BTC: The 10–14th Window Returns — One of Bitcoin’s Most Consistent Short-Term Behaviors
For six months in a row, Bitcoin has seen 8%+ pullbacks during the same timeframe: the 10th through the 14th of each month.
This has quietly become one of the most reliable short-term patterns in the market:
🔻 June: –10%
🔻 July: –8%
🔻 August: –12%
🔻 September: –9%
🔻 October: –14%
🔻 November: –11%
The lone exception?
🟢 May, when BTC bottomed inside the window and then reversed higher.
And that’s what makes the upcoming 10–14th window so critical.
Why this window carries extra weight
This time, Bitcoin is entering it after:
• a 35% macro shakeout
• a multi-week accumulation zone near the lows
• compression that’s starting to lose steam
When BTC drifts toward the monthly pivot and price structure begins to settle, this window hasn’t just brought more selling — it has often triggered reversals.
(May was the clear example.)
So this isn’t just another routine dip window.
It’s a decision point after a major reset.
What matters now
Don’t focus on predicting the move. Focus on how the structure develops into the window:
✔️ Weak bounce: increases probability of another 8%+ drop
✔️ Tight consolidation + visible absorption: opens the door for the pattern to flip and form a local bottom
✔️ A strong narrative or catalyst: can override the historical tendency entirely
The real edge isn’t in guessing early — it’s in watching the pivot develop in real time.
Bottom line
This upcoming 10–14th window could be the most revealing one of the year.
