#美SEC推动加密创新监管
On the evening of 12.7
From the perspective of the 1-hour K-line cycle and technical indicators, SOL shows a weak bottoming characteristic after a breakdown in the short term. The recent trend quickly retreated after a rise to 133.93, showing a large entity bearish line breakout pattern, directly penetrating the middle and lower bands of the Bollinger Bands, with a minimum touching around 131.2 before a slight rebound to 131.72, forming a bearish dominant pattern of 'sharp rise and sharp fall + low-level narrow range consolidation', with sufficient downward momentum released; The upper track of the Bollinger Bands has turned down, and the price has directly broken below the middle and lower tracks from the upper track area, with signs of expanding track opening, confirming the trend of a short-term downward breakout.
The KDJ indicator's J line has fallen into negative territory, with the K line and D line forming a deep death cross below 50, reflecting serious short-term overselling, but no reversal signal for the bearish trend has appeared, and there is currently no effective rebound momentum; the MACD histogram has turned green and continues to extend, indicating that bullish momentum has completely exhausted, and bears dominate absolutely.
In the short term, there is a high probability of continuing the low-level oscillation bottoming trend over 1-4 hours: if it breaks below the previous low of 131.2, it will further open up downward space; if it can stabilize above the Bollinger Bands lower track support at 131.50, a slight technical rebound may occur, but the height of the rebound will be suppressed by the middle track at 132.49, making it difficult to change the weak pattern in the short term; it is recommended to rebound to around 135--138 for light positions, with a target looking towards around 130--128.
The above is only personal advice and for reference only; please refer to the layout of Haoyu Shipan for specifics! $SOL
