Everyone is focused on the current decline, yet no one sees this could be the year-end 'last cheap ticket'

The market sentiment is highly complex right now, but do not be misled by the noise within 48 hours; the macro mainline signals have not changed.

1️⃣ Noise versus signal hedging

Japan's interest rate hike (unexpected noise) triggered selling pressure early, but this is only a short-term suppression; it cannot change the long-term liquidity expectations brought by the December interest rate cut (main signal). Short-term fears are masking long-term positives.

2️⃣ Technical contradictions

The hourly trend remains downward, indicating that short-term momentum is exhausted. However, the 4-hour RSI is oversold, suggesting that a rebound is inevitable. The market is undergoing a 'technical internal struggle.'

3️⃣ The sole task of traders: wait

You don't need to bottom out in places without support. The real entry point is not when the RSI tells you it's oversold, but when the market confirms a 'double-bottom' formation.

4️⃣ Lock in the final time point

Wait for the interest rate cut on December 10th. Whether hawkish or dovish, it will provide the market with a clear structure for a second bottom. At that time, decisively build positions, abandoning short-term speculation.

Conclusion: Big opportunities never arise when the crowd is clamoring. The more complex the macro game, the simpler we must be: wait for signals, wait for the double bottom, then All-in.