Summary of price prediction views on TAO
Forecast source/type time frame target price (USD) main basis/views
Analyst views short-term/mid-term $700 - $800 in the ideal buying range, bullish on the technicals.
Analyst views by the end of 2025 $400 - $500 continuous adoption of AI technology, ecosystem expansion.
Analyst views mid-term $460 technical analysis, the target after breaking through the previous high.
Analyst views long-term $568 - $754 target after breaking through the long-term consolidation technical pattern.
The project's fundamentals are highly dependent on network adoption in the long term. The core catalyst is network adoption, rather than merely halving.
Please note: The above price predictions are primarily based on analysts' personal views or technical analysis models and do not represent a certainty. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and investment should be approached with caution.
🔍 Understanding the Triple Core Logic of TAO's Value
To understand the context of the above predictions, it is necessary to grasp the basic logic that supports the value of TAO:
1. Unique 'Incentive Computation' Model: Bittensor is not a simple AI model aggregator. Its core is to transfer Bitcoin's 'mining incentive' mechanism to the AI field, rewarding participants who provide useful AI services (such as inference, training, computing power) to the network with TAO tokens. This aims to build a decentralized, market-competitive open market for AI services.
2. Upcoming First Halving: Similar to Bitcoin, TAO has a total supply cap of 21 million and a halving mechanism every four years. The first halving is expected to occur around December 14, 2025, at which point the daily newly generated TAO will decrease from about 7200 to 3600. From an economic perspective, this will reduce the supply of new tokens in the case of unchanged or increased demand, potentially becoming a positive catalyst for the price.
3. Ecosystem Development: The Bittensor network consists of numerous 'subnetworks', each focusing on specific AI tasks. The prosperity of the ecosystem is key to generating actual demand for TAO. Currently, there are over 120 subnetworks in the network, some of which (such as the inference service subnet Chutes and the AI agent subnet Ridges) have shown the ability to compete with centralized AI services. At the same time, institutions like Grayscale provide trust products for qualified investors, and the listing of subnet tokens on exchanges indicates increased institutional interest and ecosystem activity.
⚖️ Opportunities and Risks Coexist
Based on the above information, the prospects for TAO present a mix of opportunities and challenges:
· Main Opportunities:
· Track Advantage: As a leading project in the decentralized AI field, it occupies the popular track of 'Crypto + AI'.
· Scarcity Event: The upcoming halving is a clear and predictable event that may change the market supply-demand relationship.
· Ecosystem Growth: The early success of subnet applications and the influx of institutional capital indicate the initial formation of network effects.
· Main Risks and Challenges:
· Early Technical Risks: The project is still in its early stages, and its long-term technical feasibility and large-scale application capabilities remain to be validated.
· Economic Model Sustainability: Analysis indicates that currently, some miners within the network have low incomes, and the incentives may not sufficiently reflect the differences in model quality, which could affect participants' enthusiasm.
· Market and Competition: The cryptocurrency market itself is highly volatile, and TAO also faces competition from other AI-related crypto projects.
In summary, the future value of TAO highly depends on whether its 'incentive computation' network can continuously attract quality AI supply and demand to form a strong ecosystem effect, rather than just the halving itself. The halving may provide short-term momentum, but in the long run, the degree of realization of its utility as 'decentralized AI infrastructure' is the key.
If you want to learn more, I can explain in detail how the 'subnetworks' operate within the Bittensor network, or analyze different development paths of other decentralized AI projects.$TAO #TAO是人工智能的比特币🚀 #Aİ
