🚨 BTC PRICE ANALYSIS: IS A HISTORICAL SURGE COMING SOON?
The market is almost entirely betting that the FED will cut interest rates next week, creating a strong incentive for Bitcoin to rebound!
🚀 MACRO EXPECTATIONS:
- 92% Interest Rate Cut: Traders are pricing in a 92% probability that the FED will cut rates by 25bps (0.25%) in the upcoming FOMC meeting (9-10/12).
- Theory: The FED's "dovish" monetary policy (easing) will increase liquidity and drive capital into risk assets like Bitcoin.
📊 ON-CHAIN & TECHNICAL INDICATORS:
- On-Chain Bullish: The "Bitcoin Liveliness" index is rising, a historical pattern that always signals an upcoming bullish phase in the market.
- Breaking Out of Bearish Trend: BTC has officially broken out of a long-term downtrend, indicating that the worst phase is over.
🎯 PREDICTION SCENARIO:
- Price may drop to $87K (Short-term): Experts predict there will be a slight sell-off before FOMC, potentially bringing the price down to $87,000 to "sweep liquidity".
- $100K target is ready: After that, BTC is expected to surge quickly, surpassing $92,000 and heading straight to $100,000 within 1-2 weeks once the FED's easing policy is confirmed!
- Resistance to watch: $94,600. If surpassed, the next targets are $108,000 and $116,000.
👉 Conclusion: Although short-term volatility may occur, both macro and technical factors are supporting a strong recovery for Bitcoin!
