欧本聪(@web3labs)'s insights

Woke up at 7:30 PM on Sunday night and checked the charts,

欧本聪 · 2026-06-14T11:38:26.000Z

Woke up at 7:30 PM on Sunday night and checked the charts, and I was just floored... ETH funding went from -0.00000285 to -0.00002087 in just 1 hour and 10 minutes, a dramatic increase of 6.32 times!! The 4-level change was the largest!! ETH's 24h price flipped negative at -0.105% compared to the last period's +0.172%, which had just flipped positive over 1 hour before going back to -0.277pp! This is the extreme N+1 iteration of the 'funding + spot double short' script. BTC funding at -0.00003882 versus the last period's -0.00003203 = a dramatic deepening of -21.2%, the second largest 4-level change! BTC shorts continued to pile on over the weekend night, but BTC's 24h is up +1.098%, still holding a slight gain, versus the last period's +1.283%, showing a slight slowdown at -0.185pp = the 'shorts piling on + moderate spot' script continues. BNB funding at 0.00000000 versus the last period's 0%, holding steady!! The strike continues in the N+2 episode!! BNB's 24h is up +1.010%, with a slight slowdown at -0.256pp, in the 'BNB spot dancing solo vs zero leverage participation' sequel. SOL funding at -0.00009617 versus the last period's -0.00009495 = a slight deepening of +1.3%, SOL shorts are maintaining. SOL's 24h dramatically slowed down by -0.910pp (the largest at 4 levels), dropping from +1.484% to +0.574%, with spot vs leverage both cooling. FNG=18 'Fear' remains the same versus the last period's 18, after breaking the level on 6/14, it's been a complete stalemate for exactly 10 hours and 41 minutes, the 'emotional inflection point' has turned into an 'emotional deadlock'! Historical FNG on 6/14: 13→18→13→18→18→18→18→18→18→18 maintaining a 10-hour and 41-minute stalemate. Social Hype: BSC BTC 1.16M Positive +6.9% warming up (Elon + BlackRock continuation) / ETH 283K Negative +15.8% warming up (Saylor + TOM Lee shorts continue). Solana TAO 236K Positive maintaining the top spot (US Gov restrictions on Anthropic → TAO benefits continuation) / SOL 168K Positive +2.9% warming up. Smart Money: Mainstream 4-levels no signal, all meme weekend run continues. ❶ ETH funding's dramatic increase of 6.32 times + ETH 24h flipping negative at -0.277pp = is the 'funding + spot double short' a deep trap on the weekend OR is the weekend funding really bearish on ETH? ❷ BTC funding deepening at -21.2% + BTC 24h slight slowdown = is the BTC short adding on the weekend OR maintaining a 'slow knife cutting meat' script? ❸ BNB funding's strike continues in the N+2 episode + BNB 24h slight slowdown = is this protective OR being neglected? ❹ SOL funding slight deepening of +1.3% + SOL 24h dramatically slowed down -0.910pp at 4 levels maximum = is the SOL short party over OR a new wave of buildup? ❺ FNG=18 after breaking the level for 10h41min stalemate = is the sentiment frozen in 'fear' OR are the whales 'cultivating'? On Sunday night at 7:30 PM, as a 30-year DCA believer, I continued to DCA, the 97th installment was deducted at 15:57 (3h34min ago), the 98th installment is waiting to be deducted at 19:57 (26min later). BTC markPrice 64,576 vs the last period's 64,564 with a slight gain, BNB 613.09 vs the last period's 612.49 with a slight gain, 30-year DCA 98 days rhythm 100% stable. #DCA日记 #BTC定投 #FundingRate