The price of Bitcoin is stabilizing just below $90,000, but data indicates that reaching $100,000 by the end of the year is still possible, as analysts point to three factors related to Bitcoin's price expectations supporting this.
Three important factors support Bitcoin's price reaching $100,000 by the end of the year.
The first and most important factor is the shift in monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. After months of reducing liquidity through quantitative tightening, the central bank has stopped reinvesting the proceeds from maturing bonds and treasury bills, having ended this program on December 1. Markets are now preparing for a new monetary easing cycle.
QUANTITATIVE TIGHTENING DONE; WHAT'S NEXT FOR $BTC?
Historically, Bitcoin and altcoins struggle during prolonged Quantitative Tightening (QT = red zone), which lasted three years and just ended on December 1, 2025.
What usually follows: an uptrend (black zone).
Once… https://t.co/oosjrrFd0E pic.twitter.com/VzxaTLa4bn
— CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) December 6, 2025
The data from the FedWatch federal interest rate tracker tool from the CME Group reveals that traders expect an 87% chance of a rate cut at next Wednesday's meeting, with predictions of three additional cuts by September 2026. This policy shift comes as borrowing costs in the technology sector rise amid massive debts on AI infrastructure that may push investors to seek alternatives for storing value.
The confluence of these factors may provide the necessary momentum for Bitcoin's price to surpass the $100,000 level in the coming weeks.
The second factor is the liquidity structure. According to data from the order book provided by CoinGlass, the price of Bitcoin is currently oscillating between two important liquidity pools: a downward liquidity around $90,000 currently being tested, and upward liquidity near $94,500. If the price can break through the latter level, a scenario of rising towards $100,000 could become highly likely.
Bitcoin price expectations: the upward channel indicates a breakout towards $100,000.
The third catalyst comes from technical analysis, which indicates the possibility of Bitcoin's price rising towards the $100,000 target if it breaks through the resistance level of $95,000.
The four-hour chart shows Bitcoin's price moving within an upward channel, but the recent pullback near the middle of the range has pushed the price towards the lower limit of the channel.
On the other hand, the main support level that maintains price stability is at $84,000. If Bitcoin's price manages to hold above this level, the bullish scenario will remain in place, and a breakout of the resistance level of $95,000 is likely.
Exceeding the $95,000 level will shift the pattern towards the upside and open the way towards the $100,000 zone, which is the next main liquidity target.
However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has clearly calmed down and is beginning to lean towards a decline, indicating weakness in momentum.
If the price of Bitcoin loses the support level of $84,000, the upward channel will break down, and the price may slide towards a long-term support level at around $80,000.