I never guess 'which coin will rise', I only pick the top 20 coins with the highest increase in the last 15 days that are 'already rising' to include in my observation pool; if a coin has been declining for 5 consecutive days? It goes straight to the blacklist and will never rise again!
Last year I made a mistake: I held onto a declining coin waiting for a rebound, always thinking 'it has dropped enough to rise', but in the end, the funds ran away daily, and I lost 20% before cutting my losses. It wasn't until later that I realized: the crypto market is not short of opportunities, what it lacks is the determination to 'not compete with weak coins'; if the funds are all running away, why do you think you can catch the bottom?
The monthly line is the 'life and death command'. Do not touch it without a golden cross!
This is my core rule from 8 years of trading: if the monthly MACD hasn’t formed a golden cross, no matter how attractive the daily line looks, absolutely do not reach out!
The big trend is like train tracks; no matter how good the daily line looks, it’s just a carriage. If the tracks go down, even the fastest train will derail. Last year, a coin was trending every day, with daily gains every day. I almost jumped in, but when I looked at the monthly MACD, it was still a death cross. I resisted hard, and sure enough, this coin later dropped 35%, leaving those who chased it completely trapped.
Remember: making big money in the crypto market relies on 'going with the trend'. Going against the trend is just joking with your capital!
The 60-day moving average is the 'entry signal'. When the signal arrives, go all in!
I call the 60-day moving average the 'lifeline'. It is my entry signal gun: when the price retraces to this line and volume increases (indicating funds are entering), go all in! No averaging down, no flattening costs; averaging down is just making excuses for losses.
Many people like to 'build positions in batches' and 'increase their holdings as prices drop', but the more they add, the more trapped they become, ultimately turning themselves into shareholders. I captured 3 targets last year with this tactic, each making over 25%. When the signal is clear, go all in; when the signal is wrong, wait and see. Simple and straightforward avoids hesitation and mistakes.
Exit like a robot; accept a 2% loss!
The key to making money is not 'buying correctly', but 'selling right'. I have set three strict rules for exiting, written on a sticky note on my computer:
If the price is at the lifeline, hold on tightly. If it breaks, run immediately, never rely on luck.
When the increase reaches 30%, reduce your position by half; when it reaches 50%, reduce by one-third. Taking profits is true profit.
Even if it breaks the lifeline in the middle of the night, set an alarm and place an order to exit. Accept a maximum loss of 2% and move on; never hold on stubbornly!
Last year, a coin rose by 40%. I didn’t cut my position in time, and it later fell back to its original state. Fortunately, I strictly followed the stop-loss rule and only lost 1% in the crypto market. Preserving capital is more important than anything else. Those who can control losses deserve to make big money!
What the crypto world lacks the least is opportunity; what it lacks the most is people who can 'control their hands'! Those who chase hotspots every day, change strategies, and believe in rumors are essentially giving money to the big players. I’ve seen too many 'smart people' learn one indicator today, try one strategy tomorrow, and after a year, they end up losing everything. In contrast, I, who stick to a single strategy, have managed to grow my account from six figures to seven figures.
Complex strategies are just tricks to exploit retail investors. Only practical methods are good. This 'single-minded' approach is something I not only use myself but have also organized into an automatic reminder script that can help you filter strong coins, alert entry signals, and prompt stop-loss timing, allowing precise timing without constantly watching the market!
Follow Mr. Ke, engage in mutual exchange and learning, and Mr. Ke will lead you to the bright side of the crypto world!