The Federal Reserve's December interest rate meeting is approaching, and the crypto market should pay close attention to these core signals!
The Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting on December 8 has been described by the market as the most controversial decision point in many years, and the direction of this meeting directly influences the nerves of the crypto market.
What the market is currently most concerned about is no longer just the single answer of 'whether to cut interest rates', but the degree of internal disagreement within the Federal Reserve, as well as the policy guidance signals released by Powell.
✅ Janus Henderson: The long-term impact of the December meeting is limited, and the short-term crypto market may experience fluctuations due to news, but the policy actions in the first half of 2026 are the key.
✅ Wilmington Trust: The market has basically digested the expectations of interest rate cuts; policy guidance is the core - the Federal Reserve will likely emphasize 'data dependency', and the probability of rate cuts is far lower than the market imagines.
✅ Nomura: The market has seriously underestimated the risk of not cutting rates in December; if a rate cut occurs, the number of opposing votes and the rotation of regional Fed presidents' positions will all be key to observing the independence of Federal Reserve policy.
For the crypto market, the liquidity direction of the Federal Reserve remains an important variable. The previous cooling of rate cut expectations has already triggered a more than 30% pullback in Bitcoin and over 270,000 liquidations, and if this meeting releases hawkish signals, the tightening of dollar liquidity may further suppress the performance of non-yielding crypto assets; if it leans dovish, one must also be wary of the market reversal of 'buy the expectation, sell the fact'.
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