⚠️ POWERUSDT — Deep Setup: Big Pump, Bigger Risk (Sell-if-Rejected)
POWER just ripped from 0.158 → 0.273 (huge move) and is now trading ~0.2728 into heavy overhead supply. Volume is massive on the run — that’s momentum, but also a classic distribution signal when price meets prior highs.
What the chart shows (technical read)
Massive impulse from 0.1583 → 0.2829 (swing high).
Price is currently above EMA(7) (≈0.253) and EMA(25) (≈0.227) — short-term momentum is bullish.
However, the area around 0.260–0.283 is prior resistance/high-supply where price previously topped.
The move has strong volume on the way up — this can fuel continuation or be the final “blow-off” before a sharp pullback.
Structure: sharp V-recovery into a horizontal resistance zone (high probability of a rejection without a clean breakout).
Trading plan (clear, risk-defined)
Primary Plan — Sell-on-Rejection (Preferred):
Sell trigger: Bearish confirmation / wick / bearish candle rejection from 0.260 – 0.283 (ideal entry 0.268–0.275 on visible failure).
Targets:
TP1: 0.235 (first structural support / shallow retrace)
TP2: 0.205 (mid consolidation)
TP3: 0.158 (full retrace to prior low — aggressive)
Stop-loss: Above 0.288 – 0.295 (just over the recent swing high)
Suggested leverage / size: No more than 2–3x (high volatility). Use position sizing so SL ≤ 1–2% portfolio risk.
Alternative (Bullish) Plan — Break & Hold:
If price clears 0.283 and closes above with continued high volume, flip bias to long for continuation.
Long target (if confirmed): 0.32 → 0.36 area.
Invalidation: Failed close above 0.283 or swift rejection back under 0.26.
Why the sell bias makes sense now
1. Overstretched move — vertical rallies frequently produce sharp mean reversion.
2. Prior supply around current levels — many sellers waiting to reclaim.
3. Volume profile shows big liquidity was consumed on the way up — could be distribution (smart money exit).
