Liang Qiu: Bitcoin/Ethereum short position strategy successfully validated again

Liangqiu: 12.8 Bitcoin/Ethereum fluctuates back and forth, what is the intention of the main force?

Bitcoin and Ethereum successfully established long positions yesterday, achieving a decent range from 3040 to 2910, and from above 3130 in the early morning to around 3010, with a good range. Currently, both are showing a trend of bottoming out and rebounding, followed by fluctuating consolidation. Influenced by macro factors such as expectations for the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the long and short game is intense. Bitcoin's price movements are volatile, rebounding to 91720 after probing a bottom of 87688 overnight, then falling back and fluctuating above 90000. From a technical perspective, the daily MACD is trending upwards, showing a bullish trend, with the EMA30 resistance at 93600 and the upper Bollinger Band focusing on 94500; the four-hour MACD volume is about to end, and after breaking 92000, the DIF and DEA are expected to form a golden cross. The current core fluctuation range is between 87000 and 92000, with strong buying support in the 87500 to 88000 area, while 92600 above is a key breakout point, which may continue the upward trend after breaking.

Ethereum is synchronously performing a bottoming rebound, reaching a low near 2910 before a V-shaped rebound to around 3160, with an increase of over 8%. Currently, after a pullback, it is rebounding again to around 3130 for consolidation. The technical aspect shows that the daily MACD bullish momentum has weakened, and the four-hour line once showed an enticing short pull indicator; the upper resistance focuses on around 3180 to 3200, with further resistance at around 3250; the core support below is the psychological level of 3000, with 2900 to 2950 being an important bullish defense line, and the effectiveness of this area’s support will determine the subsequent long and short direction.

Operation suggestions: short Bitcoin near 91600 to 92000, target around 89500; short Ethereum near 3140 to 3160, target around 3060, and nephew 93300 and 3220.

Daily analysis and strategy have a high win rate, and can be seen, analysis and strategy are for reference only, risks are to be taken at your own risk, the article review and release do not have timeliness, specifics are subject to real-time conditions! #比特币VS代币化黄金 #美联储重启降息步伐 #ETH走势分析