When the Federal Reserve coughs, the crypto market shakes! If this week doesn't go well, your Bitcoin could become 'cannon fodder'!
Monday: FOMC meeting - the 'nuclear button' of the global capital markets
Key points:
The Federal Reserve is about to hold a major meeting! The market is buzzing about quantitative easing (QE), which simply means printing money like crazy to save the economy.
Case study: In December 2024, when the Federal Reserve lowers interest rates, Bitcoin skyrocketed to $120,000, and altcoins rose by 30%!
My perspective:
If this meeting sends a 'dovish' signal (like hinting at interest rate cuts), the crypto market will take off! But if they hold firm and don't relent, there might be a short-term sell-off. Remember: the Federal Reserve's words are deceptive!
Tuesday: Inflation data — the 'verdict' that decides the life and death of the crypto market
Key point:
The U.S. is set to release CPI inflation data. If the number is lower than expected (for example, below 3%), it indicates economic cooling, and the Federal Reserve is more likely to cut interest rates!
Case study: In November 2025, as soon as the inflation data was released, Bitcoin surged $5000 in half an hour, and short-sellers collectively faced a loss of 2 billion!
My opinion:
Retail investors shouldn’t just look at the data! Focus on the market's early reactions — if the price of crypto surges before the data is released, it’s likely that institutions are betting on good news, so be careful of "good news selling out"!
Wednesday: FOMC update + interest rate cut — the 'roller coaster moment' for the crypto market
Key point:
The Federal Reserve may directly announce a 25 basis point (0.25%) interest rate cut, which is like giving the market a shot of adrenaline!
Case study: In December 2023, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the first time, and Ethereum skyrocketed from $1500 to $3000 in just 10 days!
My opinion:
Don’t be fooled by short-term fluctuations! If interest rates are cut but the wording is "hawkish" (for example, implying no further cuts in the future), the price may open high and close low. Remember: after policies are implemented, reverse operations are safer!
Friday: Deficit report + Powell resigns — Black Swan could take off at any time!
Key point:
The U.S. is set to release the deficit balance sheet. If the debt hits a historic high, the dollar may collapse, while the crypto market benefits!
Rumors of Powell's resignation: If true, the market will explode! If the new chairman is dovish, the crypto market will directly enter a bull market!
Case study: In July 2025, rumors of Powell's resignation led to an 8% drop in Bitcoin in one day, but the next day it rebounded by 12%!
My opinion:
Don't trust rumors too easily! Focus on the U.S. dollar index — if the dollar crashes, hurry to buy the dip on Bitcoin!
Summary from the shopkeeper:
"If you remain inactive this week, you'll only be able to watch others get rich and cry next year! Right now, do three things immediately:
1️⃣ Keep your position below 50%, leave enough ammunition!
2️⃣ Set a stop-loss line (for example, if Bitcoin drops below $90,000, run immediately)!
3️⃣ Follow my real-time analysis; after the interest rate cut on Wednesday, I will live-stream to dissect the market!
Finally, I want to say a word to everyone:
Making money in a bull market relies on courage, surviving in a bear market relies on intelligence! Which side will you choose this week?”
2600 days on the road of finance, a pioneer in the crypto market's exclusive secret: Insight into the market, move steadily forward, pay attention to the shopkeeper teaching you how to steadily increase value, risks and opportunities coexist in investments, blind operations are a big taboo in the crypto market!
