$ZEC
Sleepless night warning! Is the Federal Reserve's year-end interest rate cut a done deal? At 3 AM on Thursday, the crypto market will face a huge shock! 一起聊聊
The last major interest rate event of the Federal Reserve in 2025 officially kicks off this week—the FOMC's concluding interest rate meeting is coming! It concerns the direction of Bitcoin, US stocks, and gold.
· Interest rate decision announcement: At 3 AM on Thursday, there is a high probability of a 25 basis point cut, bringing the federal funds rate down to the range of 3.5~3.75%. CME's “Fed Watch” data shows an extremely high probability of 87~90%. Is this wave of easing seemingly secured?
· Powell's press conference: Starts at 3:30 AM on time! As the “spokesperson” for the Federal Reserve, he will personally explain the logic behind the rate cut. More importantly, he will reveal the policy direction for 2026. For those looking to buy the dip or sell at the peak, this speech is like a compass for the crypto market—don't miss a word!
The US job market has recently shown a clear cooling trend, coupled with the unexpected drop in September's core PCE inflation to 2.8%. Under this dual pressure, the Federal Reserve has no reason not to ease up, which is also the key to the market's overflowing confidence. Three hidden points will determine the thickness of wallets next year.
1. Powell's attitude towards interest rate cuts in 2026—The market has already bet on cuts of 25 basis points in March and June next year. Will he pour cold water on that, directly affecting the subsequent market?
2. The undercurrents of disagreement within the FOMC—Currently, among the 8 core decision-makers, there are 4 doves and 4 hawks. How many dissenting votes are there? Will it hint at a hawkish rebound in 2026?
3. Early leaks from the new voting committee—Cleveland Fed President Mester, Philadelphia Fed President Harker, and other bigwigs with voting rights next year are likely to speak out intensively after the decision. Their positions will be the barometer for next year's policy.
Interest rate cuts often drive funds from low-yield assets to high-risk targets like cryptocurrencies. After the interest rate cut in September 2025, Bitcoin funds alone attracted $977 million. If easing occurs as expected this time, will BTC and ETH experience another surge? If Powell sends hawkish signals or if dissenting votes exceed expectations, will the market stage a “buy the rumor, sell the news” reversal? Pay attention to the trending little puppies 【P.U.P.P.i.e.s
Will you stay up late to watch the market on Thursday morning? Do you think cryptocurrencies will take off immediately after the interest rate cut, or will they fall first and then rise? Come to the comment section to share your thoughts!