The Federal Reserve's decision on Thursday mainly focuses on three points:

First, interest rate cuts. The market is almost certain that there will be a cut (with a probability of over 86%), so if it really happens, it won't be a surprise, and the market is expected to remain stable.

Second, they will look at their interest rate cut forecast for 2026. Currently, there is a general expectation that there will be two cuts next year. If the Fed's forecast indicates more than two cuts, it will be considered good news; if it's less than two, the market may need to drop a bit.

Third, will they reinstate "quantitative easing"? They are no longer tightening liquidity, so it remains to be seen whether they decide to inject more funds into the market—if they do, it will be positive for the stock market and liquidity.

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