🌐 What’s happening now
$ETH Ethereum is trading around $3,100–$3,160, after a recent rebound that lifted prices roughly 10% week-on-week. TechStock²
On-chain data suggests supply on centralized exchanges is at historic lows — only about 8.7–8.8% of circulating ETH is held on exchanges — while a large portion is locked in staking, DeFi, and institutional custody. TechStock²
Big investors (“smart whales”) reportedly poured roughly $426 million in long positions — which many view as a bullish bet, and could fuel further upside if momentum holds.
📈 What could go well
With tightened supply (low exchange balances + lots locked), a surge in demand could trigger sharp upside — less available ETH means potential for rapid price moves.
If market sentiment stays favorable — especially if macroeconomic conditions (like interest-rate cuts) improve — ETH could aim for $4,000+ resistance in the coming weeks.
Institutional interest and accumulation remain strong, which may further strengthen ETH’s fundamentals and long-term appeal. 99Bitcoins+1
⚠️ What to watch out for / risks
Despite bullish signs — ETH is still well below its August 2025 highs (~$4,900), so volatility remains high. TechStock²+1
If demand stalls or macro-economic headwinds return (global markets, interest-rate concerns, etc.), ETH could struggle to break resistance and may dip toward lower support levels. TechStock²+1
As with any crypto, sharp swings remain possible — a tight supply environment helps rallies but can also amplify corrections.
🔭 What to watch next
Keep eyes on:
Exchange-supply metrics (how much ETH remains available on exchanges) — this influences liquidity and price action.
Wider macroeconomic factors (global interest-rate policy, institutional flows).
Technical resistance zones: a break above $3,250–$3,400 could open a clearer path toward $4,000+.
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