BlockBeats News, December 9th, according to PolyBeats monitoring, yesterday, unverified images appeared on Cambodian Telegram and Facebook showing a Thai F-16 fighter jet carrying out an airstrike on a Cambodian target. Subsequently, the Thai military confirmed that after a Thai soldier was killed in a border conflict, Thailand took "retaliatory action." This news directly caused the probability on a prediction market "Will Thailand attack Cambodia before December 31st?" to skyrocket from 28% to 100% within a 2-hour window yesterday morning from 8 a.m. to 10 a.m., and the market later settled as "Yes."Due to the rapid escalation of the geopolitical conflict, Polymarket launched a market one hour ago titled "Will Thailand attack Cambodia on December 9th?" The market features daily settlements but had very low initial trading volume. Shortly after the market was launched, new images and reports surfaced online: The Bangkok Post posted on social media confirming that the Royal Thai Army had destroyed a casino used by Cambodia as a drone control station with an F-16 fighter jet, and the airforce is currently targeting a rocket base threatening Thai communities. In response to this news, the option for December 9th surged from 37% to the current 62% within an hour. Due to the low trading volume, this market has not yet settled.