The interest rate is poised to ignite massive fluctuations in
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The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) began its final meeting of 2025 today, December 9, amid intense anticipation from global markets, as investors await the interest rate decision that will set the tone for monetary policy as we enter 2026. The meeting is scheduled to conclude tomorrow, December 10, followed by a press conference with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Market expectations indicate an 80% to 92% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut, lowering the target interest rate range to 3.50%–3.75%, marking the third consecutive cut this year. Although the scenario of holding or raising rates remains weak, analysts warn that any surprise—even a limited one—could push markets into a wave of rapid fluctuations.
The Fed will also release the economic projections summary, including the "dot plot," amid expectations of economic growth of about 2.1%, an unemployment rate near 4.2%, and core inflation around 2.5%. Preliminary forecasts suggest the possibility of three to four additional rate cuts during 2026, while Powell may clarify quantitative tightening trends and inflation expectations during his press conference.
