🔥【马斯克小🌸奶🌸狗 p u p p i e s 🔥 Warning! December rate cuts may be a 'hawkish trap'】
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Don't just focus on the 25BP rate cut; the real risks may lie ahead. Several Wall Street institutions have already warned: this rate cut appears dovish, but in reality, it may be the 'beginning of tightening'.
Key points👇
1️⃣ One-time rate cut risk: If inflation doesn't come down and economic data remains strong, the Federal Reserve may only cut once, then not move for a year and a half — the market may have already celebrated too early, and the rest will rely on hard endurance.
2️⃣ Surge in policy uncertainty: Powell's position is unstable, and the stance of the new chair is unknown. Policy rhythm may experience disruptions, and the market will have to navigate in the dark again.
3️⃣ Internal opinion division: The dot plot is likely to show significant differences, meaning future paths are even less clear. Rate cuts no longer represent easing but rather 'direction uncertainty'.
📉 The pressure on the market is twofold:
Strong economy → Inflation rebound → Pause rate cuts
Weak economy → Recession fears → Safe-haven exits
Summary: The benefits of rate cuts have already been priced in; the real test is the 'true intent of policy' after the rate cuts. This week is not a celebration but an entry into a tougher market mode. Approach with caution.
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
$ETH $LUNA $LUNC
Don't just focus on the 25BP rate cut; the real risks may lie ahead. Several Wall Street institutions have already warned: this rate cut appears dovish, but in reality, it may be the 'beginning of tightening'.
Key points👇
1️⃣ One-time rate cut risk: If inflation doesn't come down and economic data remains strong, the Federal Reserve may only cut once, then not move for a year and a half — the market may have already celebrated too early, and the rest will rely on hard endurance.
2️⃣ Surge in policy uncertainty: Powell's position is unstable, and the stance of the new chair is unknown. Policy rhythm may experience disruptions, and the market will have to navigate in the dark again.
3️⃣ Internal opinion division: The dot plot is likely to show significant differences, meaning future paths are even less clear. Rate cuts no longer represent easing but rather 'direction uncertainty'.
📉 The pressure on the market is twofold:
Strong economy → Inflation rebound → Pause rate cuts
Weak economy → Recession fears → Safe-haven exits
Summary: The benefits of rate cuts have already been priced in; the real test is the 'true intent of policy' after the rate cuts. This week is not a celebration but an entry into a tougher market mode. Approach with caution.
#加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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