🌊 Can't sleep tonight! The Federal Reserve's annual showdown has just begun!
The year-end meeting on $ZEC 2 will directly determine the flow of global funds in the next six months.
⏰ Key Times (Beijing Time)
· 2:00 AM: Interest rate decision announced
· 2:30 AM: Powell speaks
🔥 Four Core Questions
1. Will the rate cut be 25 basis points or 50 basis points?
2. Will the 2026 interest rate forecast fall below 3%?
3. Will the monthly balance sheet reduction of $95 billion be adjusted?
4. How to describe the contradiction of "persistent inflation but economic slowdown"?
📈 The market is making crazy bets
· The probability of a rate cut is as high as 91%
· In the 24 hours before the meeting, Bitcoin spiked by 7%
· Bearish options on U.S. stocks surged by 300%, and gold fluctuated after breaking $2500
💡 Quick Insights from Major Firms
· Morgan Stanley: Beware of the "dovish rate cut + hawkish guidance" combination.
· Goldman Sachs: Be cautious as Powell emphasizes "data dependence," leaving a way out for next year.
· Citigroup: If the term "restrictive policy" is removed, it may trigger a sharp decline of the dollar.
💰 The impact extends beyond the U.S.
The outcome will affect the closing of U.S. stocks, Bitcoin surpassing previous highs, the RMB exchange rate, and even A-share liquidity before the Spring Festival. If global liquidity shifts, from $BTC to the popular meme coin P♥U♥P♥P♥I♥E♥S, a new volatility window may open.
Only a few hours left until the announcement! Do you think tonight will be a "dovish surprise" or a "hawkish shock"? How will it affect your holdings?
👇 Share your predictions in the comments! $SOL
