恐龙博士
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🦖 Dr. Dinosaur · Weekly Trading Review (Week 4) 📅 Trading Period: 2025/12/02 - 2025/12/08
📈 Market Overview · Insights
This week, the cryptocurrency market continues to fluctuate:
ETH oscillates around the $3100 range
BTC consolidates near $92,000
On-chain and derivatives data show that extreme positions of bulls/bears are gradually being cleared, with most institutions and large holders choosing to close short positions and reassess, leading to an overall cautious sentiment.
This week's key macro event: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations materialize. After the announcement, there was a short-term increase in long positions in the market, especially with a noticeable rise in long participation for ETH.
🦖 Doctor's Insight: The interest rate cut is a marginal positive, but after such a positive materializes, it usually enters a "profit-taking pullback" phase. Therefore, I lean towards: 🔹 Maintaining light long positions in ETH 🔹 Heavy positions are not recommended 🔹 Target range around $3300
🔍 This Week's Strategy Review
The core remains focused on ETH for swing trading.
❌ Major Mistake
Last week, the ETH short position failed to take profit at $2700, and the order was not executed, leading to a currently passive position. In the short term, due to the stimulus from the interest rate cut, the market is rebounding, making it difficult to handle the short position immediately, but I believe:
The adjustment cycle for ETH has not fully released, and there remains a probability of a downward second retest. Therefore, the short position is still expected to find better exit opportunities in future fluctuations.
🟡 Other Market Observations
The BSC ecosystem showed a significant increase in activity last week, with multiple projects indicating a "bull market launch."
However, the quality of projects varies, and the probability of success is low—realities also prove that the money earned solely from the Binance ID portion is very difficult to replicate elsewhere.
⚠️ Current Major Challenge
Remains: How to gracefully handle the ETH short position to reduce losses or even seek reversal opportunities. Despite short-term positive support, structurally, the downward cycle of ETH has not completely ended. I still believe there will be a "chance-giving" fluctuation.
Follow me, and together we will bring our accounts back to the peak.🦖📈
#ETH走势分析
📈 Market Overview · Insights
This week, the cryptocurrency market continues to fluctuate:
ETH oscillates around the $3100 range
BTC consolidates near $92,000
On-chain and derivatives data show that extreme positions of bulls/bears are gradually being cleared, with most institutions and large holders choosing to close short positions and reassess, leading to an overall cautious sentiment.
This week's key macro event: The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations materialize. After the announcement, there was a short-term increase in long positions in the market, especially with a noticeable rise in long participation for ETH.
🦖 Doctor's Insight: The interest rate cut is a marginal positive, but after such a positive materializes, it usually enters a "profit-taking pullback" phase. Therefore, I lean towards: 🔹 Maintaining light long positions in ETH 🔹 Heavy positions are not recommended 🔹 Target range around $3300
🔍 This Week's Strategy Review
The core remains focused on ETH for swing trading.
❌ Major Mistake
Last week, the ETH short position failed to take profit at $2700, and the order was not executed, leading to a currently passive position. In the short term, due to the stimulus from the interest rate cut, the market is rebounding, making it difficult to handle the short position immediately, but I believe:
The adjustment cycle for ETH has not fully released, and there remains a probability of a downward second retest. Therefore, the short position is still expected to find better exit opportunities in future fluctuations.
🟡 Other Market Observations
The BSC ecosystem showed a significant increase in activity last week, with multiple projects indicating a "bull market launch."
However, the quality of projects varies, and the probability of success is low—realities also prove that the money earned solely from the Binance ID portion is very difficult to replicate elsewhere.
⚠️ Current Major Challenge
Remains: How to gracefully handle the ETH short position to reduce losses or even seek reversal opportunities. Despite short-term positive support, structurally, the downward cycle of ETH has not completely ended. I still believe there will be a "chance-giving" fluctuation.
Follow me, and together we will bring our accounts back to the peak.🦖📈
#ETH走势分析
Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. No financial advice. May include sponsored content. See T&Cs.
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