$BTC is stuck in a death throes between buyer and sellers within the $89,000 - $93,000 range. While energy is accumulating, the following three signals explain why the need for a move remains strong in the market.

šŸ”ø Short term optimism must be reflected in the distribution from the ETF advisory group.

  • This group has shifted from a net buy position ($134.2 million) to a strong sell position of $707.3 million to realize profit.

  • In the options market, the 25 delta index is skewed upward to 12.88%, indicating that trader are willing to pay higher premium to protect their portfolio from downside risk.

šŸ”¹ Despite selling pressure, technical indicator are sending positive signal.

  • RSI The Relative Strength Index RSI 14 day has strengthened from 38.6 to 58.2, confirming the upward trend.

  • The Profitability Supply ratio has slightly increased to around 67.3%, indicating that capital is flowing back into the market.

šŸ”¹ This recovery is heavily dependent on Short Holder STH.

  • The STH group is currently experiencing net losses as the $BTC price remain significantly lower than their average purchase price around $109,000 according to data.

  • Given their current off limit, this group tends to HODL, waiting for the price to surpass $100,000 to reach break even instead of cutting losses immediately. This could reduce selling pressure in the short term.

The market is anxiously awaiting a breakout from the $93,000 region to confirm whether this rally is a sustainable recovery or just a bull trap.

Do you think such heavy selling pressure is enough to sustain Bitcoin recovery?

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