Markets on Edge: $BTC to Smash $100K, $ETH to Hits $4K — Fed Decision Set to Shake Everything
Global markets are bracing for impact. At 3 AM Beijing time, the Federal Reserve drops its next rate decision — and this one isn’t routine.
The market expects a third straight 25 bps cut, bringing rates to 3.5%–3.75%.
But the real story? A potential “hawkish rate cut.”
Meaning: they cut — but hint they’re basically done.
Here’s what matters:
1️⃣ Powell’s Tone = Market Direction
Watch the statement and press conference. Analysts expect a shift back to cautious language, signaling future cuts will be far harder to justify.
2️⃣ Dot Plot Drama & Internal Division
This meeting could see multiple dissenting votes:
Kansas City’s George expected to oppose again
Bullard may push back over inflation worries
Waller might argue for a deeper 50 bps cut
The split inside the Fed is widening — and markets hate uncertainty.
3️⃣ Stubborn Inflation vs Weakening Jobs
Core PCE dipped to 2.8%, still way above target.
Hiring slowed, layoffs ticked up.
The Fed is stuck between “too hot” and “too cold.”
4️⃣ Surprise Move? Balance Sheet Shift
With QT halted in October, the Fed may even signal a restart of bond buying to ease funding stress — not full QE, but a major pivot.
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