SpaceX $SPCX Upcoming Months:
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the CRSP index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $4-7 billion.
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the FTSE Russell index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $6-9 billion.
• June 26: SpaceX gets added to the MSCI index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $3-5 billion.
• July 6: SpaceX gets added to the NASDAQ 100 index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $8-12 billion.
• Early to mid-August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call (first for a public company).
• 2 trading days post Q2 earnings release: 30% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 12% of all outstanding shares). Note: Only about 40% of shares qualify for early unlock, with Elon and board shares subject to a 366-day extended lockup (60% of shares).
• August 21: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Index rebalancing. SpaceX's weight increases due to the rise in float, resulting in passive funds needing to buy in the tens of billions.
• October 12: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Early to mid-November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days post Q3 earnings release: 28% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Index rebalancing again. SpaceX's weight further increases, requiring passive funds to buy in the tens of billions.
(Cursor acquisition may slightly affect lockup percentage)
So, do you get when to buy and when to short now?
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