币圈老男孩
191 Posts
币圈老男孩
2017年入圈老韭菜 | 币安(CZ)忠实粉丝 | 撸毛爱好者 | 佛系现货玩家 | 合约散财童子 | 理财小能手 | 暴富幻想家 | Agent体验官
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Occasional Trader
8.8 Years
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Verified
Looks like OKX next door is back with some good news, seems like they're embracing compliance once again. So, what are the opportunities here?
I went ahead and checked out some AI advice, and the screenshots below are AI's analysis and output.
Not only did it advise me not to buy, but it even suggested to go full exit～
So, everyone, tread carefully, I've already liquidated and swapped for $HYPE .
Hmm～$AAVE is also due for a buy.
I went ahead and checked out some AI advice, and the screenshots below are AI's analysis and output.
Not only did it advise me not to buy, but it even suggested to go full exit～
So, everyone, tread carefully, I've already liquidated and swapped for $HYPE .
Hmm～$AAVE is also due for a buy.
Insane! Zhipu is still in the red, and its market cap has skyrocketed to 1.07 trillion HKD🔥
Today, the Hong Kong stock market surged by 42% at its peak, opening at 2100 and shooting straight up to 2980, with a massive intraday gain of over 14%.
Traditional valuation logic is completely ignored; does the AI big model track only need to bet on future growth?
#港股 #智谱ai
Today, the Hong Kong stock market surged by 42% at its peak, opening at 2100 and shooting straight up to 2980, with a massive intraday gain of over 14%.
Traditional valuation logic is completely ignored; does the AI big model track only need to bet on future growth?
#港股 #智谱ai
Son says: Dad, happy Father's Day! I'm taking you to eat at Big Happy. Then, son scores two toys, and I'm still footing the bill 😇
#父亲节
#父亲节
Partly True
$ASTER recently launched a new Tokenomics with "99% fee buyback + 1:1 equivalent burn." By all accounts, this is already one of the most aggressive deflationary models in the crypto space.
But here’s the kicker:
If the buybacks are so strong, why isn’t the coin price moving? Many believe it’s due to a lack of market acceptance, questionable trading volume, future unlock pressure, and so on.
However, I think there’s another critical angle to consider:
👉 Ongoing sell pressure from project teams, institutions, market makers, or historical airdrop users is completely offsetting the buyback demand.
According to data from defillama:
• 30-day fees amount to about $6.37 million
• Corresponding monthly buybacks are around $6.30 million
• Additionally, an equivalent amount of $ASTER is burned
The issue is:
If there are also millions of dollars worth of tokens continuously flowing into the market every month, then even the strongest buybacks can only maintain consolidation, not push the price up.
Often, when the price doesn’t rise, it doesn’t mean the buyback is ineffective.
In fact, it might indicate that the buyback is quietly absorbing the sell pressure that would otherwise trigger a crash.
For ASTER, what we need to focus on isn’t just the buyback ratio. It’s the on-chain data: who is consistently buying? And who is consistently selling?
This might be the key to determining future trends.
#Aster
But here’s the kicker:
If the buybacks are so strong, why isn’t the coin price moving? Many believe it’s due to a lack of market acceptance, questionable trading volume, future unlock pressure, and so on.
However, I think there’s another critical angle to consider:
👉 Ongoing sell pressure from project teams, institutions, market makers, or historical airdrop users is completely offsetting the buyback demand.
According to data from defillama:
• 30-day fees amount to about $6.37 million
• Corresponding monthly buybacks are around $6.30 million
• Additionally, an equivalent amount of $ASTER is burned
The issue is:
If there are also millions of dollars worth of tokens continuously flowing into the market every month, then even the strongest buybacks can only maintain consolidation, not push the price up.
Often, when the price doesn’t rise, it doesn’t mean the buyback is ineffective.
In fact, it might indicate that the buyback is quietly absorbing the sell pressure that would otherwise trigger a crash.
For ASTER, what we need to focus on isn’t just the buyback ratio. It’s the on-chain data: who is consistently buying? And who is consistently selling?
This might be the key to determining future trends.
#Aster
Partly True
Back when Aster first dropped, I made over ten grand at the peak, and when CZ bottomed out, I cleared my position. My profits took a hit, but I still ended up in the green.
Meanwhile, $HYPE has successfully made it out, backed by A16z, and the official team is doing daily buybacks and burns; institutions are scooping up more and more, and I'm just riding the wave.
These past few days, $ASTER has been buzzing, with star stepping in to pump it, but it still can't hold its ground. I saw some fellow traders mention that the so-called buyback and burn was just a quick 12-minute buyback totaling 17 bucks. It's honestly a bit of a joke! The crypto market is like that right now; it only acknowledges the top dog, while the second place puts in ten times the effort and still can’t catch up. Not to mention, the project team doesn't seem to be putting in any effort either.
Meanwhile, $HYPE has successfully made it out, backed by A16z, and the official team is doing daily buybacks and burns; institutions are scooping up more and more, and I'm just riding the wave.
These past few days, $ASTER has been buzzing, with star stepping in to pump it, but it still can't hold its ground. I saw some fellow traders mention that the so-called buyback and burn was just a quick 12-minute buyback totaling 17 bucks. It's honestly a bit of a joke! The crypto market is like that right now; it only acknowledges the top dog, while the second place puts in ten times the effort and still can’t catch up. Not to mention, the project team doesn't seem to be putting in any effort either.
Verified
I got scammed again in the crypto scene!
The performance numbers are looking solid, but the prices are being marked down like crazy. The NASDAQ gains are just flowing back into the local market.
Even today's $SPCX isn't holding up as expected～
The performance numbers are looking solid, but the prices are being marked down like crazy. The NASDAQ gains are just flowing back into the local market.
Even today's $SPCX isn't holding up as expected～
Verified
A big player has detailed the unlock schedule for $SPCX , clear and hassle-free.
币圈老男孩
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BullishSpaceX $SPCX Upcoming Months:
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the CRSP index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $4-7 billion.
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the FTSE Russell index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $6-9 billion.
• June 26: SpaceX gets added to the MSCI index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $3-5 billion.
• July 6: SpaceX gets added to the NASDAQ 100 index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $8-12 billion.
• Early to mid-August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call (first for a public company).
• 2 trading days post Q2 earnings release: 30% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 12% of all outstanding shares). Note: Only about 40% of shares qualify for early unlock, with Elon and board shares subject to a 366-day extended lockup (60% of shares).
• August 21: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Index rebalancing. SpaceX's weight increases due to the rise in float, resulting in passive funds needing to buy in the tens of billions.
• October 12: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Early to mid-November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days post Q3 earnings release: 28% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Index rebalancing again. SpaceX's weight further increases, requiring passive funds to buy in the tens of billions.
(Cursor acquisition may slightly affect lockup percentage)
So, do you get when to buy and when to short now?
#SPCX
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the CRSP index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $4-7 billion.
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the FTSE Russell index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $6-9 billion.
• June 26: SpaceX gets added to the MSCI index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $3-5 billion.
• July 6: SpaceX gets added to the NASDAQ 100 index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $8-12 billion.
• Early to mid-August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call (first for a public company).
• 2 trading days post Q2 earnings release: 30% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 12% of all outstanding shares). Note: Only about 40% of shares qualify for early unlock, with Elon and board shares subject to a 366-day extended lockup (60% of shares).
• August 21: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Index rebalancing. SpaceX's weight increases due to the rise in float, resulting in passive funds needing to buy in the tens of billions.
• October 12: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Early to mid-November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days post Q3 earnings release: 28% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Index rebalancing again. SpaceX's weight further increases, requiring passive funds to buy in the tens of billions.
(Cursor acquisition may slightly affect lockup percentage)
So, do you get when to buy and when to short now?
#SPCX
SpaceX $SPCX Upcoming Months:
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the CRSP index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $4-7 billion.
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the FTSE Russell index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $6-9 billion.
• June 26: SpaceX gets added to the MSCI index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $3-5 billion.
• July 6: SpaceX gets added to the NASDAQ 100 index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $8-12 billion.
• Early to mid-August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call (first for a public company).
• 2 trading days post Q2 earnings release: 30% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 12% of all outstanding shares). Note: Only about 40% of shares qualify for early unlock, with Elon and board shares subject to a 366-day extended lockup (60% of shares).
• August 21: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Index rebalancing. SpaceX's weight increases due to the rise in float, resulting in passive funds needing to buy in the tens of billions.
• October 12: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Early to mid-November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days post Q3 earnings release: 28% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Index rebalancing again. SpaceX's weight further increases, requiring passive funds to buy in the tens of billions.
(Cursor acquisition may slightly affect lockup percentage)
So, do you get when to buy and when to short now?
#SPCX
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the CRSP index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $4-7 billion.
• June 18: SpaceX gets added to the FTSE Russell index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $6-9 billion.
• June 26: SpaceX gets added to the MSCI index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $3-5 billion.
• July 6: SpaceX gets added to the NASDAQ 100 index. This triggers passive funds to make forced buys of about $8-12 billion.
• Early to mid-August: SpaceX Q2 earnings call (first for a public company).
• 2 trading days post Q2 earnings release: 30% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 12% of all outstanding shares). Note: Only about 40% of shares qualify for early unlock, with Elon and board shares subject to a 366-day extended lockup (60% of shares).
• August 21: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 10: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September 25: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• September: Index rebalancing. SpaceX's weight increases due to the rise in float, resulting in passive funds needing to buy in the tens of billions.
• October 12: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• October 26: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• Early to mid-November: SpaceX Q3 earnings call.
• 2 trading days post Q3 earnings release: 28% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 11.2% of all outstanding shares).
• December 9: 7% of qualifying insider shares unlock (equating to 2.8% of all outstanding shares).
• December: Index rebalancing again. SpaceX's weight further increases, requiring passive funds to buy in the tens of billions.
(Cursor acquisition may slightly affect lockup percentage)
So, do you get when to buy and when to short now?
#SPCX
Looks like $SPCX can keep climbing tonight, so I won't be taking any profits just yet. I'm down to just my profit position now.
This ride has been so smooth, definitely the most comfortable one this year.
Shoutout to Elon, and big thanks to the richest guy! #SPCX
This ride has been so smooth, definitely the most comfortable one this year.
Shoutout to Elon, and big thanks to the richest guy! #SPCX
Verified
If you look at the candlestick of $TRX , it's clear that Sun isn't really dumping on anyone. I don't want to whitewash him, but real, hard cash buys are always supportive.
Even though I've been out of TRX for many years now, I was once a holder of a million TRX.
If I hadn't sold... I could probably profit enough for a house by now.
#TRX✅
Even though I've been out of TRX for many years now, I was once a holder of a million TRX.
If I hadn't sold... I could probably profit enough for a house by now.
#TRX✅
The founder of MSX has announced that the first unlock window for VC/CVC $SPCXB will be on July 24th.
Meanwhile, the NASDAQ index is expected to add SPCX in early July.
In other words, there shouldn't be any major dumps before July 20th.
With the market open approaching, should I stack my positions back up?
It's a dilemma!
#SPCX
Meanwhile, the NASDAQ index is expected to add SPCX in early July.
In other words, there shouldn't be any major dumps before July 20th.
With the market open approaching, should I stack my positions back up?
It's a dilemma!
#SPCX
$BTC seems to have finally broken the downtrend that lasted for half a month. I initially thought the World Cup would bring a surge of liquidity, but it’s been pretty calm so far—maybe it’s just that liquidity has totally dried up~
The funds originally allocated for the SPCX new listings might have trickled back in a bit. However, I still can’t say I’ve bought back BTC; right now, I’m more bullish on $HYPE .
Lastly, one thing’s for sure: no analysis compares to a single tweet from Trump—it changes quicker than anything! Until the US and Iran have a formal, complete, and real ceasefire and the Strait is opened, all kinds of investment assets could still take another nosedive. #比特币回升至64000美元
The funds originally allocated for the SPCX new listings might have trickled back in a bit. However, I still can’t say I’ve bought back BTC; right now, I’m more bullish on $HYPE .
Lastly, one thing’s for sure: no analysis compares to a single tweet from Trump—it changes quicker than anything! Until the US and Iran have a formal, complete, and real ceasefire and the Strait is opened, all kinds of investment assets could still take another nosedive. #比特币回升至64000美元
Trump says the deal will be signed on the 14th, while Iran says they won't sign on the 14th.
But regardless of the date, both parties should be looking to seal the deal. My gold $XAUT is expected to stabilize and head back into an upward trend, right? #美伊
But regardless of the date, both parties should be looking to seal the deal. My gold $XAUT is expected to stabilize and head back into an upward trend, right? #美伊
Brazil isn't the same Brazil as it used to be 🇧🇷. The only player worth watching, Neymar, can't hit the pitch. #世界杯2026
Verified
SPCX is basically about timing the buy low, sell high game, and I'm thinking about re-entering some positions now.
There's a data point, $SPCX , with most of the equity locked up, and the market liquidity is only around 4.3%.
Employees and investors will have to wait a month or two before their holdings unlock, and Nasdaq is likely to officially include it in the index by early July, which will force major institutional funds to buy in.
Current price around 160 compared to the opening price of 135, that's only an 18% increase, with low sell pressure, high demand, and limited supply, theoretically, it could continue to rally.
Just my two cents, for your consideration.
#SpaceX上市美股高开
There's a data point, $SPCX , with most of the equity locked up, and the market liquidity is only around 4.3%.
Employees and investors will have to wait a month or two before their holdings unlock, and Nasdaq is likely to officially include it in the index by early July, which will force major institutional funds to buy in.
Current price around 160 compared to the opening price of 135, that's only an 18% increase, with low sell pressure, high demand, and limited supply, theoretically, it could continue to rally.
Just my two cents, for your consideration.
#SpaceX上市美股高开
Last night, I already took my profits early at 165~ just made a tiny gain. Seems like we overestimated the hype a bit.
Traditional funds are still pretty steady.
Although I'm still bullish on SPCX, the risk-to-reward ratio doesn't feel as appealing, especially since it's already at a $2 trillion market cap~ But from a human perspective, I'm still all in on it, supporting Musk all the way!
#SpaceX上市美股高开
Traditional funds are still pretty steady.
Although I'm still bullish on SPCX, the risk-to-reward ratio doesn't feel as appealing, especially since it's already at a $2 trillion market cap~ But from a human perspective, I'm still all in on it, supporting Musk all the way!
#SpaceX上市美股高开
币圈老男孩
·
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BullishI personally feel that $SPCX is set to skyrocket at the open, with a continuation of the momentum on Monday before gradually returning to a rational price.
Previously bought in at 120 (600 before the split), sold at 182, making a 50% gain.
Yesterday, I bought back my entire position at 155, hoping to sell at 195 at the open.
#SPCX #IPO
Previously bought in at 120 (600 before the split), sold at 182, making a 50% gain.
Yesterday, I bought back my entire position at 155, hoping to sell at 195 at the open.
#SPCX #IPO
US 🇺🇸 vs Paraguay 🇵🇾
Which team are you HODLing?
Which team are you HODLing?
Have you all seen a peak like this in the crypto market?
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