Something big is happening! Mysterious data is about to be revealed, and the cryptocurrency market is filled with suspense over whether it will rise or fall!
Attention, everyone!
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the December CPI and non-farm employment report in January 2026, and these two data points significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. CPI reflects inflation and determines whether the Federal Reserve will adjust interest rates; the non-farm employment report reflects the U.S. economy, illustrating the hiring situation and unemployment rate.
If CPI exceeds expectations and inflation does not decrease, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates or choose not to lower them. An interest rate hike makes the U.S. dollar more valuable, leading to funds flowing out of the cryptocurrency market and other risk assets, and investors may sell cryptocurrencies out of concern for risks, causing prices to drop, just like when the U.S. CPI exceeded expectations in early 2025, resulting in a drop in Bitcoin.
If CPI is lower than expected, indicating cooling inflation, the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates early. A rate cut devalues the dollar, directing funds toward cryptocurrencies, and investors' risk appetite increases, leading to price rises, similar to the slowdown in U.S. inflation in 2024, which caused Bitcoin to rise.
Non-farm employment data also plays a role. If employment exceeds expectations, the economy is strong, and the Federal Reserve may adopt a “hawkish” stance by raising rates or maintaining high rates, leading to funds exiting the cryptocurrency market and prices falling; if employment is worse than expected, indicating recession risks, the Federal Reserve may take a “dovish” approach by cutting rates, leading to capital inflows into the cryptocurrency market and rising prices; if employment is mixed, the market may be indecisive, leading to increased price volatility.
The January 2026 data will be a major test for the cryptocurrency market. Brothers, pay close attention to the data and adjust your strategies.
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