$ETH #美联储FOMC会议 The Federal Reserve's core focus today is on the last interest rate meeting of the year, with the market expecting a 25 basis point rate cut (bringing the interest rate range down to 3.50%-3.75%) with a probability of 87%, marking the third consecutive rate cut this year, recognized by investment banks including Morgan Stanley.
The core highlight of the meeting is the "hawkish rate cut": rare internal disagreements within the FOMC, with the dovish faction represented by Williams advocating for a rate cut to prevent economic slowdown; at least 5 voting hawkish members are concerned about sticky inflation and oppose further easing, likely resulting in a rate cut while raising the threshold for subsequent cuts, rebutting the expectation of continued rate cuts into early 2026. Little_🫶milk🫶_dog_🫶puppies
In addition, liquidity issues are under close attention, with Bank of America predicting that the Federal Reserve may announce the launch of a "Reserve Management Bond Purchase Program" in January 2026, purchasing $45 billion in short-term bonds monthly to stabilize liquidity (non-traditional QE). All decisions, dot plots, and economic forecasts will be released at 3 AM Beijing time on December 11, with Powell's press conference wording setting the tone for next year's policy pace.
