$BTC – Still in a downtrend, be cautious of FOMO breakout

The H4 frame shows that BTC remains below the descending trendline that has stretched since early November. The bounce up to nearly 95k only touched the trendline and was rejected, proving that the sellers still control the larger trend.

🔍 Important technical points

- The H4 descending trendline remains strong resistance — the price has not closed a candle above it.

- RSI is reacting in the 60 area → buying pressure is increasing but has not yet created a clear breakout signal.

- MACD has just crossed slightly, but there is not enough momentum to confirm a reversal.

- Volume is low → no funding has confirmed a breakout.

👉 Order scenarios

*** Short in the trend direction:

- When the price tests the descending trendline & a rejection candle appears →

- Target around 88k–86k.

*** Safe Long:

- Only when the H4 candle closes decisively above the descending trendline, along with increased volume

- Target near 97k–100k.

👉 In summary: The larger trend is still down. $BTC needs to break the trendline with a clear signal to reverse. Avoid FOMO on spikes against the trend.