The direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy has always been the focus of global markets. The interest rate decision announced at 3 AM Beijing time on December 11, along with Chairman Powell's subsequent press conference, is expected to have a short-term emotional impact on multiple markets, including crypto assets.
The current market has generally priced in a pause in interest rate hikes for this meeting and reflects expectations for future rate cuts to some extent. Therefore, the market's volatility after the announcement will depend more on the dot plot's guidance for future interest rate paths and Powell's remarks on inflation, employment, and economic outlook during the press conference.
If his remarks are dovish, it may strengthen the market's expectations for easing policies or boost the sentiment of risk assets.
If his remarks are hawkish, it may correct the market's optimistic expectations for a policy shift or put pressure on some high-volatility assets.
Regardless of the outcome, market volatility often intensifies before and after major events. Investors are advised to:
Pay attention to real-time official statements and authoritative interpretations, and not to trust fragmented rumors;
Control positions to avoid blindly chasing prices in times of high uncertainty;
Rationally distinguish between the impact of short-term news and medium-to-long-term fundamental trends.
The market is always dynamically pricing. Building an investment system suitable for oneself within a compliant and rational framework is the long-term method to cope with volatility.