$LUNA $ZEC $BTC @币安广场

At 3 a.m., don’t sleep! The Federal Reserve's "bloody chips" are about to be dealt!

All traders around the world have their screens locked in the same place at this moment. The market is overwhelmingly betting on interest rate cuts, but the real bomb is hidden in the details—this time it may be a "hawkish rate cut"! One hand gives you a candy (rate cut), while the other hand immediately reveals the knife (harsh words). This is the source of explosive volatility!

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🔥 Key points: Focus on these two points, they are more important than the rate cut itself

1. Powell's "golden words": every word is worth its weight in gold! The post-meeting statement will be carefully worded. Pay attention to how he talks about "inflation" and "employment". If he emphasizes "data dependency" and "restrictive policies need to last longer", even if there is a rate cut, it will be bearish!

2. The "infighting" in the dot plot: this is the real drama! The Federal Reserve has split into three factions: hawks (stubbornly fighting inflation, opposing rate cuts), centrists (waiting and seeing), and doves (calling for continued easing). As long as the dot plot suggests "this is the last time this year", the market could change face immediately!

🌊 Impact on the crypto market: A script of mutual destruction?

· If the "hawkish rate cut" script unfolds (high probability): Beware of a "sell the fact" scenario! BTC's push to 100k and ETH's breakthrough of 4000 may be temporarily hindered. The dollar rebounds, risk assets come under pressure, and the market needs to reprice. Could this be the last opportunity to bottom out? Or the starting point of a waterfall?

· If unexpectedly dovish (low probability): then the party continues, liquidity expectations will drive the crypto market to surge again.

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Tonight is destined to be sleepless. Real trading begins the moment the resolution is announced. Bulls and bears are just a thought apart.

Let’s chat in the comments:

Are you preparing to bottom out or short? How much do you think the "big pie" will be smashed down by this news? #加密市场反弹 #美联储重启降息步伐