$BTC ⚡️ Tonight at 3 AM, global markets are closely watching the Federal Reserve's decision, and the cryptocurrency market is about to face a critical turning point!
📌 Key Highlights: This rate cut may be accompanied by a “hawkish stance,” becoming the main source of market volatility.
🔍 Key Details:
• The market generally expects a rate cut of 25 basis points.
• However, what’s more concerning is the level of disagreement within the Federal Reserve.
• Special attention should be paid to Powell's statements on subsequent policies.
🎯 Four Major Focuses:
1. Powell's wording — Statements on inflation and employment will set the market sentiment.
2. Dot Plot Disagreement — Reflects the struggle between hawks and doves within the Federal Reserve.
3. Economic Data Contradictions — Inflation remains above target, but employment shows signs of slowing.
4. Liquidity Expectations — Will there be signals of disguised QE?
💡 Impact on the Cryptocurrency Market:
• Short-term volatility may occur.
• If the rate cut channel is confirmed to be opened, it will still benefit risk assets in the medium to long term.
• Beware of a “buy the rumor, sell the news” type of pullback.
🛡️ Response Suggestions:
1. Control positions to avoid high leverage.
2. Pay attention to the immediate reactions of the US dollar index and US Treasury yields.
3. Focus on changes in market narratives, not just the facts themselves.
📢 Interactive Question: Do you think BTC will break through 100,000 tonight, or will it enter a pullback? Feel free to share your views and strategies in the comments!
Personal view: It will rise; there will be a rate cut, and there will also be a rebound, just depends on how large the amplitude is!
BTC target around 98,000 points, ETH target around 3,600 points!
