Peace be upon you
The interest rate decision is in two hours from now
Some, with a probability of no less than 80%, expect a decline even if the decision is positive and below expectations
They based this assumption on what happened in the previous interest rate cut decision; the market did not react at that time and immediately declined afterward, so they believed the same scenario would repeat regardless of today's outcome.
But let me tell you:
Everyone expected that 2025 would be a year of strong growth based on previous cycles… However, the market defied expectations, and it was a bloody year in every sense of the word, and the growth cycle has been delayed significantly and has not begun yet.
So why judge the present by the past?
The market doesn't operate on the same old scenarios anymore, and the game is always changing.
The recent movement has proven that the market moves literally against the majority
If the majority expects a rise, a decline occurs
And if the majority expects a decline → a rise occurs
And sometimes the market is completely ambiguous, just like last week.
In summary:
It is not at all necessary for the decline scenario to repeat after the interest rate decision
And even if a short decline occurs, the news remains excellent in its positivity for the medium term, and may push the market to enter a respectable upward wave during the coming months, with the accumulation of other positive news.
⚡ So rest assured… and don't pay attention to the majority's words. They are not always right.
