🚨Reminder: The Federal Open Market Committee meeting will be held today at 2:00 PM Eastern Time to decide on the interest rate.
A 25 basis point cut is expected with a 90% probability.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will hold a press conference at 2:30 PM Eastern Time, and any indication of quantitative easing will be positive for the markets.
Here are the key probabilities:
- Interest rate cut + clear signal for further cuts/liquidity support ← markets may rise.
- Interest rate cut + neutral tone (no guidance on future cuts) ← mixed reaction with short-term volatility.
- Interest rate cut + hints at balance sheet support (quantitative easing-like measures later in 2026) ← strong rise as markets anticipate future liquidity.
- Interest rate cut + hawkish tone due to inflation concerns ← the market will decline.
Please follow up
BTC
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