TODAY’S FED FOMC WAS EXTREMELY BULLISH
🇺🇸 The Federal Reserve may have just kicked off the next liquidity wave with three rate cuts and a new $40 billion Treasury-buying program.
Today’s FOMC meeting delivered one of the most decisive pivots toward easing we’ve seen in years.
The Fed cut rates another 25 bps—its third consecutive cut—but what really mattered was everything Powell said around the decision.
Here’s the simplified breakdown:
The Fed will buy $40B in Treasury bills over the next 30 days, starting December 12
Powell said T-bill purchases will remain elevated for several months
Powell reiterated the labor market remains soft
He acknowledged job gains were overstated by 60,000
He noted the Fed expects economic growth next year—likely implying ISM > 50
Rate decisions will be made meeting by meeting, not on a preset path
Inflation is still “too high,” but he didn’t hint at further hikes
Powell openly stated no one’s base case includes another rate hike
Fed projections point toward modest cuts, not tightening
Put together, this signals a slow but unmistakable pivot toward a more supportive policy stance.
The key takeaway is the liquidity angle.T-bill purchases are one of the Fed’s simplest ways to add liquidity without labeling it “QE.”
They’re not calling it stimulus—but markets will feel the effects as this liquidity enters the system.
Combine that with weaker labor data and overstated job gains, and the Fed now has even more justification to continue cutting if needed.
What comes next?
Short-term volatility remains likely.
Markets will react to every new headline and datapoint.
But the broader trend is becoming clearer:
The Fed is gradually stepping away from tight policy and moving toward conditions that generally benefit risk assets—including crypto.
If the next few inflation prints show even slight improvement, the path forward becomes even smoother
