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Shery_yr 07
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Bitcoin $
BTC
open interest has been cut in half in two months, from $47.5 billion to $27.5 billion.
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Shery_yr 07
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The $100k BTC Jan 30 call option is currently priced for a ~70% probability per Black-Scholes implied density that Bitcoin will be at or below $100,000 at expiry. $BTC
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Was 2025 as good as it gets for ETFs? Basically every conceivable record was broken by a lot. My gut says prob won't be as good in 2026 (esp if stock mkt not as good) but two charts make me think it could be. One is the fact that most MFs don't curr offer ETFs and two is equity MFs saw over $1T in outflows, which adds extreme pressure to adapt or be acquired. With ETF share classes now approved by SEC, even if 5% of the largely stranded MF assets moved over to the ETF class it would easily send flows to record next year. Throw in $7T in money mkt mutual funds and a rate-cutting new Fed chair and that could help a lot too. Either way, ETF future looking bright. $BTC
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JUST IN: $9 TRILLION IS KNOCKING ON BITCOIN’S FRONT DOOR. A new letter from Congress urges SEC Chair Paul Atkins to let Americans hold $BTC and crypto in their 401(k) retirement accounts immediately. If this door opens, every plan sponsor, advisor, and asset manager is suddenly forced to have a crypto strategy. This isn’t “number go up” -- it’s “system gets redesigned.” $BTC
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Another milestone for the $TAO ecosystem: Grayscale Bittensor Trust (Ticker: $GTAO) is now trading and available in your securities brokerage account $GTAO is the first publicly quoted U.S. investment product offering exposure to $TAO , expanding investor access to decentralized AI
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This chart should terrify anyone who still thinks "this time is different." Bitcoin has been following the same fractal cycle for over a decade: – Accumulation – Markup – Distribution – Bear Market Then it just repeats over and over. Every single major top and bottom has lined up almost perfectly with these repeating waves. And guess what? The cycle just completed another top on schedule. People laughed when I said the top was in back in October. They always do… right before the chart proves me right. If this fractal plays out again, the next phase is obvious: A multi-month bear market leading into 2026. It won’t be as bad as the last ones we saw tho, but a $50,000 bitcoin wouldn’t surprise me. Some will ignore this. Some will hold through it. But 99% of people will get wiped out again. But you’re not "most people." You’re here. You’re paying attention. As long as you didn’t invest money you’ll need access to in the next 6 to 12 months, you’ll be fine. Anyway, i’ll tell you when it’s time to buy back in, i’ll call the bottom just like I did at $16k a few years ago. Alot of people are going to wish they followed me sooner. $BTC
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