The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates as expected, causing coin prices to rise and then fall, with attempts to buy the dip waiting for good news! 12.11 big pie aunt's strategy

The Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 25 basis points as scheduled, but the December dot plot shows only one expected rate cut in 2026, far below market expectations. Although the understanding king complained that 'the cut is too small.' This month, a $40 billion short-term U.S. Treasury bond purchase was initiated to expand the balance sheet (non-QE), specifically easing overnight loan market pressure, which led to a short-term rebound in U.S. stocks and coin prices. However, Powell emphasized that the current interest rate is at a high neutral range, and there is no preset path for policy, causing coin prices to subsequently fall! Yesterday, I warned everyone to be cautious of Powell's speech suppressing coin prices as expected, but it was too late, as we couldn't stay awake for his speech!

Today’s daily line closed bearish, and the rebound in coin prices was again hindered by the upper band of the daily Bollinger Bands, so focus today on the gains and losses around the 94500 level. This morning, it has already broken below yesterday's low point. Although the current technical aspect is slightly bullish, there is no strength to break through in the short term, so we can first look for a wave of retracement today, and once it stabilizes, we can enter to go long!

12.11 Long Position Strategy:

For big pie, enter at 90000-90500 on the retracement, for conservative traders enter at 89000-89500, with a stop loss near 88000, targeting around 92000-93000, if broken look at around 93500-94000-94500, continue to move the stop loss up as necessary!

For Ethereum, enter long at the retracement of 3120-3150, for conservative traders enter at 3050-3080, with a stop loss near 3000, targeting around 3250-3300, if broken look at around 3380-3400-3430, continue to move the stop loss up as necessary!

12.11 Short Position Strategy:

For big pie, short one hand at the rebound of 94500-95000, with a stop loss near 96000, targeting around 93500-93000, if broken look at around 92000-91000, continue to move the stop loss up as necessary!

For Ethereum, short one hand at the rebound of 3420-3450, with a stop loss near 3500, targeting around 3350-3300, if broken look at around 3280-3250, continue to move the stop loss up as necessary!

The expectation for interest rate cuts in 2026 is relatively low, and the strategy of buying the dip this month meets expectations. Yesterday, I reminded everyone to pay attention to Powell's speech, as it was highly likely to suppress coin prices, which has also been validated. Recently, the decline has been noticeably limited, so once it stabilizes, we can gradually go long waiting for good news! #加密市场反弹