Here is the quick forecast for the cryptocurrency market today, Thursday, December 11, 2025, shortly after the Federal Reserve (FED) decision.
📉 Forecast Summary: "Sell the News" and Consolidation
The market is reacting to the 0.25% interest rate cut (now between 3.50% and 3.75%) announced yesterday. As the cut was widely expected, the outlook for today is consolidation with a bias towards profit-taking (the famous phenomenon "rises on rumor, falls on fact").
🔍 What to Expect Today
Bitcoin (BTC): Should lateralize or undergo a slight correction. The price is struggling to maintain support around US$ 90,000 - US$ 92,000. As the cut was not more aggressive (0.50%) and there were dissentions in the FED vote (some members wanted to keep interest rates), the bulls (buyers) lost immediate strength.
Attention point: If it loses US$ 90k, it may seek liquidity at US$ 88k.
Altcoins (ETH, SOL, etc.): Tend to exhibit higher volatility. Ethereum (ETH) showed relative strength yesterday, but today it should follow the trend of Bitcoin. If BTC falls, altcoins tend to fall harder (higher beta).
Volatility: Expected to be medium/high. The market is still digesting the "dot plot" (FED projections for 2026) and the political transition in the US, which creates uncertainty.
💡 Why didn't the market explode upwards?
It was already priced: The market rose in previous days betting on this cut.
Divided Decision: The FED's decision was not unanimous (vote 9 to 3), showing that the American Central Bank is still cautious about inflation, which reduces the appetite for risk assets like crypto in the very short term.
Decoupling from Stocks: While Wall Street (S&P 500) renewed highs, Bitcoin showed weakness, indicating a momentary capital rotation or exhaustion of buyers at the current level.
Do your research and operate with caution.
