🚨 After 5-Year Wait, Gemini Finally Approved to Offer Prediction Markets in the US
Gemini has officially secured approval to launch prediction markets in the United States after the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) granted its affiliate, Gemini Titan, a Designated Contract Market (DCM) license — five years after the company first applied in 2020.
1. Gemini Joins a Crowded, Fast-Growing Sector
The exchange — founded by Cameron and Tyler Winklevoss — enters a space already dominated by Kalshi, Polymarket, and Robinhood, signaling major institutional validation for prediction markets.
Gemini Titan will offer yes/no event contracts, such as:
“Will Bitcoin end the year above $200k?”
“Will Elon Musk’s X pay the full $140M EU fine by 2026?”
2. A Five-Year Licensing Saga Ends
“Today’s approval marks the culmination of a 5-year licensing process,” said CEO Tyler Winklevoss, thanking President Trump and Acting Chair Pham for ending what he described as the previous administration’s “War on Crypto.”
Cameron Winklevoss added that prediction markets could become “as big or bigger than traditional capital markets.”
3. US Rollout Begins Immediately
US customers will soon be able to trade event contracts via Gemini’s web platform
Mobile support is coming next
Contracts settle in USD from users’ Gemini accounts
5. Prediction Markets: A New Frontier for Gemini
Prediction markets harness crowd wisdom to forecast real-world events and reward accurate insights.
For Gemini, the launch is another step toward building a full-spectrum financial super app for American users.
