o *Bitcoin ($BTC )* still has *real chances of reaching 126 thousand USD*, but it depends on various factors. Here is a clear overview:
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✅ *Why $BTC could indeed reach 126 thousand USD (or more):*
*1. Recent halving (April 2024):*
Historically, the price of BTC rises in the *12 to 18 months after the halving*, due to the reduction in supply.
- Example: after the 2020 halving, BTC rose from ≈9,000 to 69,000 in a year and a half.
*2. Increased institutional adoption:*
- Major players (BlackRock, Fidelity, US ETFs) are increasingly exposed to BTC.
- The influx of institutional capital tends to drive up the price.
*3. Crisis of confidence in fiat currencies:*
- Global inflation and money printing make B$BTC seen as a *store of value*.
*4. Technical analyses and models like Stock-to-Flow (S2F):*
- Some models suggest *target prices between 100k and 250k* by 2026, in an optimistic scenario.
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⚠️ *What could prevent BTC from reaching 126k:*
- Strict regulations (US, EU, China) could hinder adoption.
- Massive sell-off by whales or governments (like the case of Mt. Gox).
- Macroeconomic collapse with a flight to safety (investors sell everything, including BTC).
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📊 Conclusion:
- *Yes, it is possible* for BTC to reach 126k by 2026, especially if it repeats patterns from previous cycles.
