《Bitcoin may reach a new high of 126,200 in October 2025, with a minimum of 30,000 to 50,000 by the end of 2026?》

I really can't imagine what a bear market will be like. I've heard that Bitcoin will peak in the 18th month after the halving, and some believe that this October is that peak. Once this bull market reaches its highest point, the bear market will follow.

Some predict that on October 7, 2025, Bitcoin could soar to a historic high of 126,200 USD, but that would mark the beginning of the bear market, leading into a long 12-month bear phase, with Bitcoin prices potentially dropping to between 30,000 and 60,000 USD by the end of 2026.

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points this month, and it might end the balance sheet reduction this year. Bitcoin halves every four years, and this pattern hasn't changed; after the halving on April 20, 2024, the price should reach a high in the 18th month. This month, Bitcoin reached the historic high of 126,200 USD.

In the last bull market, Bitcoin plummeted by 77%, but I think this time it won't drop that severely. The lowest Bitcoin price might just reach 30,000 USD, and it will likely be difficult to see Bitcoin below that level again. I'm planning to hold on and buy the dip when it crashes, just like in October and November before (although I'm not clear on what 1011 specifically refers to, I'll keep that expression intact).

Sigh, I already liquidated my position before, and now I can only hope to make a big profit with perp to turn things around. I still need to remain optimistic and confident. Some say the lowest point for Bitcoin will be in October 2026, when the fear index reaches around 10, indicating the lowest point. If the fear index drops below 10, I'll dare to go all in again.

Others believe that by the end of 2026, Bitcoin will definitely drop below the highest point of 69,000 USD from 2021, with the lowest point likely being in the range of 30,000 to 50,000 USD.

The market has experienced a crash, and blood is flowing in the market. Soon, I will prepare some strong coins suitable for bottom fishing as a recovery plan. I want to invite brothers and sisters who want to follow the strategy to join the chat room.

#加密市场观察