🚨🚨🚨 BREAKING 🚨🚨🚨

JAPAN COULD CAUSE ANOTHER SHOCK IN #BITCOIN ON DECEMBER 19

According to Reuters, there is an 85% to 90% probability that the Bank of Japan WILL RAISE the rate on the 19th.

And if that happens… the crypto market could suffer ANOTHER DROP like the previous ones.

-Let’s understand why Japan can impact $BTC so much

🔸For decades, Japan kept rates close to ZERO %

🔸This allowed them to lend over $20 TRILLION in Yen at very low rates

🔸Investors used that cheap money to buy risky assets like stocks, bonds… and also #Bitcoin

🔸This mechanism is called "Yen Carry Trade"

What’s the problem? If Japan raises the rate, those loans become more expensive.

The carry trade loses profitability and investors unwind positions: they sell what they bought with that money (crypto, stocks, bonds).

Especially if future expectations continue to signal more rate hikes. This equates to lower future profitability of the Carry Trade.

Therefore, investors prefer to take greater profits now.

Moreover, many investors start selling U.S. BONDS to reinvest in JAPANESE BONDS, which now yield more.

What effect does this have on global markets?

▪️Sale of U.S. bonds (especially by Japanese, who are the largest holders of American debt in the world) = rise in their yields

▪️Rise in yields in the U.S. equates to downward pressure on equities (stocks and #crypto) due to greater attractiveness

We have seen this pattern 3 times in this BTC cycle

-Each time Japan raised the rate, #BTC fell sharply:

March 2024: –10% in one day

August 2024: –24% in 5 days

January 2025: –12% in 10 days

📍This is not an unexpected “black swan”… It is a projected “gray swan” even by Nomura: a known risk, but ignored by many.

📍The BoJ rate hikes did not end the bull market, but they did generate strong corrections.

📍Attention to this December 19... we could see a new “stone in the path”.