Ojo al dato! 👀 La FED recorta la tasa de interés un $0.25... y en lugar de que Bitcoin (BTC) se dispare a la luna 🚀, ¡se pega un frenazo en los $94,000! ¿Qué está pasando con el Rey Crypto que ni la política monetaria de EE. UU. logra despertarlo? 😴

Mira, aquí te va el resumen de por qué la fiesta de subida no arranca, a pesar de que el ambiente a largo plazo se siente bullish (o sea, alcista):

El problema no es que la gente no quiera comprar, el rollo es que NO HAY PLATA FRESCA entrando al exchange. 💸 Un analista crack, Darkfost, lo puso clarísimo: la culpa es de la contracción de la liquidez.

  • The Liquidity Thermometer: The most reliable signal to see if capital is entering the crypto market is to check the inflows of stablecoins (those digital dollars like USDT or USDC) to the exchange platforms.

  • Alert! 🚨 Those inflows of stablecoins (the ERC-20) have plummeted nearly $50, dropping from $158 billion to about $76 billion this month. 📉 This is not just a simple drop; it’s a structural trend! Fewer stablecoins entering means less purchasing power to fuel the rises.

  • False Rallies? The recent spikes in Bitcoin have been more due to low selling pressure, not heavy accumulation of buyers. In other words, it rises because they stop selling, not because people are throwing money in crazily. Without liquidity, any rise is pure "window dressing". 💄

The Critical Barrier:

Bitcoin has failed three times to break strongly above $93,000. The liquidity level everyone is watching is between $94,000 and $98,000. If BTC fails to surpass $94,000, we remain vulnerable to strong drops. 😵‍💫 In fact, the last rejection after the FED news formed an ugly pattern (swing failure pattern or SFP), indicating fatigue on the bulls' side (the buyers).

The Dark Side (To Avoid):

If the price of BTC drops and confirms a bearish breakout below $88,000, beware! 😬 That could trigger a drop to $84,000 and even the quarterly lows of $80,600. 😱

The Hope of the Holders:

Some traders like Captain Faibik say this is an intentional "shakeout" to clear out the weak. For the rally to return, we need a firm weekly close above $90,000, ideally close to $93,000, to have the base and attack the $96,000 zone with full force. 🐂

As long as we don’t see that massive injection of stablecoins back into the exchanges, it’s like trying to swim in a pool without water. 💦 Do you think the "fear" of investors putting in more capital will last or will the FED finally manage to get the money flow to light the fuse of BTC? 🔥$BTC