🔮 Four core trends locked in for 2026

1. The number of stablecoins overwhelms Layer 2

Differences in issuance thresholds determine fate—stablecoins will exceed 300 types, while L2 retreats to niche scenarios due to high costs.

Based on: current stablecoin monthly increase of 12%, L2 development costs exceed 5 million USD.

2. Major reshuffling in on-chain asset management

Retail mining ends: tools like gtUSDa drive funds from 'mining' to standardized vaults (anchored to USDC/ETH).

Asset management protocol warning: multi-signature wallet vaults may face over 100 million USD in hacker attacks, forcing a reconfiguration of security architecture.

3. Bitcoin L2 dark horse breaks through

The dormant Bitcoin ecosystem will explode with the first L2, challenging the notion that 'BTC = antique coin', but initial attention is insufficient.

Clue: Teams like Stacks and BitVM have received secret VC funding.

4. AI auditing tools are a double-edged sword

The first AI vulnerability detection tool has landed, but teams that fully rely on AI will suffer losses exceeding $50 million due to missed detections.

💥 Three major 'disappearance' warnings

Rollup interconnection narrative collapses: the model sacrificing sequencer earnings for cross-chain has become a burden, leading to a withdrawal tide among top projects.

The privacy sector is cooling off early: technological iterations lagging behind, current valuation bubble will burst before 2026.

DAO delegation representatives are disappearing: legal loopholes exposed, protocols not bound to DAO are growing at over 300%.

🚀 Two new forces are rising

Non-USD stablecoins break the ice: Swiss franc and Singapore dollar stablecoins capture 15% market share.

On-chain ETF compliance explodes: Uniswap v4 customized pools + KYC mechanism attract institutions like BlackRock to enter RWA.

💎 The harsh truth

Ethereum has become a marketing symbol, with the ecosystem's focus shifting to asset value;

Star creator tokens repeat the fate of FT, with Base chain peaking right at launch;

AI discovers vulnerabilities but struggles to prevent human flaws—2026 remains a golden year for hackers.

Final warning: Prediction is not a crystal ball, but a survival simulation.

#加密市场观察 #中本聪