Brothers,
Today there's a piece of data that gave me goosebumps:
**Polymarket weekly trading volume exceeds 1.3 billion dollars, setting a historical high.**
More than during the U.S. election.**
Do you know what this means?
It's not that the platform is on fire,
It’s not that there are more gamblers,
It’s not that retail investors are stimulated.
but rather:
“The global internet is entering the age of probabilities.”
The significance of this matter for the crypto industry
It's even bigger than ETF approvals and ETH upgrades.
I will explain this pattern to you today.
1. Why is Polymarket's 1.3 billion weekly trading volume a “financial revolutionary indicator”?
Bro, what does 1.3 billion a week mean?
Surpassing the vast majority of small futures exchanges
Has already reached the size of a medium-sized options exchange
It is five times the total monthly trading volume of the entire platform last year
Even surpassing the 'global peak event' like the US election
This indicates:
** Prediction markets are no longer relying on hotspots for survival,
But rather become the 'default internet financial tool'.**
In other words:
** People are starting to use 'probability' to understand the world.
And not rely on news, media, or KOL opinions.**
This is the trend.
Two, explosive growth across all categories proves that 'user profiles' have completely changed
You see the data:
Politics: +139%
Sports: +320%
Crypto: +195%
Culture: +670%
Finance: +200%
Technology: +90%
This is not something that was fired up by a specific event,
This is a comprehensive blossoming.
What does it indicate?
Users of prediction markets are not gamblers, but 'new era information consumers'.
Want to predict CPI → Buy financial types
Want to predict BTC trends → Buy crypto types
Want to predict game sales → Buy cultural types
Want to predict iPhone sales → Buy tech types
Want to predict the match → Buy sports types
Does this look like anything?
** When perpetual contracts first came out, everyone was testing what they were.
Now the prediction market is following the same path.**
Perpetual contracts → DeFi explosion
Prediction market → The next big narrative
Three, why did the prediction market suddenly explode? Because 'people no longer trust the media'
Bro, let me tell you a big trend:
The truth of the internet era is not defined by journalists, but by money.
In the past:
The media tells you who will win
KOL tells you how the market will move
Analysts tell you how interest rates will change
What about now?
Users directly invest money:
'I think what will happen.'
This way of 'expressing opinions with capital'
It is a more real prediction tool than the media.
Polymarket's 1.3 billion trading volume proves:
The whole world is using the 'voting results of money' as a basis for judging reality.
This is an ideological revolution.
Four, why is this a 'big good thing' for the crypto industry?
Because what is the underlying asset of the prediction market?
→ Stablecoins (USDC, USDT)
→ On-chain signatures, on-chain matching
→ Real-time prices, real-time settlements
The hotter the prediction market,
Three things will happen:
① Stablecoins have become the 'default currency' of global internet
YouTube just announced it will pay creators in stablecoins,
Polymarket now settles 1.3 billion weekly using stablecoins.
This is called:
Stablecoins are beginning to 'replace banks'.
② On-chain settlement will become the default method in global finance
When the trading volume of prediction markets is larger than certain sectors of Robinhood,
No regulation can ignore 'on-chain finance'.
This is not crypto chasing regulation,
It is regulation being forced to follow crypto.
③ DeFi, RWA, and derivatives will be pushed to the position of 'mainstream assets'
Because now users around the world are saying:
'I don’t want to just buy stocks, I want to bet on future probabilities.'
This will give birth to a trillion-dollar new market.
** Five, the toughest part is coming:
US regulation is paving the way for the 'legalization of on-chain prediction markets'**
Don't you think it's strange?
On the same day that Polymarket's trading volume hit a new high:
CFTC issued a 'no-action letter'
Gemini has been approved to do event contracts
Coinbase announced it will launch prediction market products on the 17th
Brother, do you understand?
** Regulation is not cracking down on prediction markets,
It is preparing to incorporate it into the legitimate financial system.**
This means three things:
Mainstream users want to come in
Institutions will also come in
The capital volume will multiply several times
Prediction markets are about to emerge from the 'gray area'
Transform into a new type of compliant derivatives market in the US.
What will its future scale be?
At least:
The current perpetual contract market × 1/3
It may even surpass.
Six, my conclusion in one sentence:
Brothers, this time Polymarket is not just breaking records,
It is an 'upgrade of thought' for the internet.
** When people start betting on reality,
Capital markets will redefine the 'future'.**
The next big narrative in the market
It won't be Meme, it won't be L2, it won't be AI.
Will be:
'Probability finance era'.
Prediction Market
Stablecoins
Chain Settlement
Coinbase conference on the 17th
= The super theme for the next two years.
What you see now is 1.3 billion.
Waiting for Coinbase to enter, what you might see is:
13 billion.
💬
Brothers:
Do you think the biggest medium in the next bull market will be 'perpetual contracts' or 'prediction markets'?
Will you bet on reality?$BTC
