Crypto friends, I am Zhao Gongming! A strange signal is playing out on the market: all four-hour technical indicators show 'strong buy', but smart money is quietly retreating. Follow Zhao Gongming, and in three minutes I will break down the truth of this long-short confrontation, revealing the main players' cards.
News: Smart money continues to flow out, with a net outflow of $2.03 million over 10 days!
The hardest data reveals a harsh reality. The flow of contract funds shows that although there are sporadic inflows of funds from 5 minutes to 1 hour, the real trend is hidden behind: all medium to long-term cycles from 4 hours to 10 days have seen a net outflow of funds. Among them, the cumulative net outflow over 10 days reached $2.03 million, with a fund market value ratio of 4.55%. This clearly tells us: institutions and whales are taking advantage of short-term price increases to carry out ongoing and steadfast distribution. When 'smart money' chooses to leave, any apparent prosperity needs to be questioned.
Technical analysis: Four-hour chart shows 'golden cross with increased volume' and the prisoner’s dilemma of multi-cycle divergence.
Focusing on the four-hour candlestick chart, the situation is starkly different: the price closes at 0.02768, MACD forms a golden cross, the white line stands above the 0 axis, the energy column strengthens, and RSI is in the healthy range of 57.96, suggesting sufficient short-term upward momentum. However, the fatal contradiction is that the daily, weekly, and monthly cycles all give a 'strong sell' signal. This severe divergence of short-term bullish and long-term bearish indicates that the current rise lacks support from a larger cycle and is very likely just a rebound correction within a major downward trend, facing the risk of faltering at any time.
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Zhao Gongming's opinion and strategy: Bullish but treading carefully, a rebound is a risk test.
I have a cautious and short-term bullish view. The current rise resembles a 'technical rebound' driven by short-term funds under a long-term bearish pattern. This could very likely be a high-risk 'bull trap.'
Position suggestion: Please view this rise as a rare opportunity to reduce positions. Focus on whether the price can break through the strong resistance zone of 0.0300-0.0361. If it cannot break through and stabilize, one should decisively exit.
Recommendation to observe: Absolutely do not chase highs! The true direction of the market requires waiting for the signal of this rebound losing strength. A safer approach is to patiently observe; if the price cannot break through resistance and falls back below the support of 0.0243 or even 0.0228, the bearish trend will be confirmed again.
If you do not know the specific entry timing and exit points, and for those holding positions, you can follow Zhao Gongming, who will announce daily coins and entry points in the chat room along with exit timings! #加密市场反弹
