Stop being superstitious about those flashy trading slogans! As someone who has been in the crypto space for 8 years, I've stepped into enough pitfalls to fill a basket. From initially chasing highs and cutting losses to the point of questioning life, to now relying on a 'counterintuitive' simple method to achieve stable profits, today I will share my practical logic that I've kept under wraps. No complicated indicators, no staying up late to monitor the market, you can get started in 4 steps, and beginners can directly copy the homework!
To be honest, in the early years, I also followed the trend and tried various 'magic operations', like short-term fluctuations and contract leverage. As a result, I either made a little money and ran away or lost until my mindset collapsed. It wasn't until I explored this minimalist strategy that I truly achieved a profitable closed loop. To this day, I'm still using it to build my empire, and the core is just two words: stable and accurate!
Without further ado, let’s get straight to the point; every step contains the experience I’ve gained through real investment, so pay attention!
Step one: filter out the "garbage targets" and build your potential pool.
My first step is not to rush to find a buying point but to first "clear the minefield" for the target! I will focus on targets with clear upward momentum within 11 days and add them uniformly to the self-selected pool. But there is an iron rule: if there is a continuous pullback for more than 3 days, blacklist it directly! Don't hesitate!
Why so strict? I have seen too many beginners get trapped in what seems like a strong initial rise, which is actually the main force unloading at high positions. Continuous pullbacks signal capital outflow, and if you enter, you are just a bag holder. Remember, the crypto market never lacks opportunities; what’s lacking is the patience to preserve capital.
Step two: grasp the major trend, and determine the direction at the monthly level.
After the self-selected pool is built, the next step is to filter out the targets supported by a major trend. Open the monthly chart, and I only look at one indicator: MACD golden cross. Don't talk to me about other fancy indicators; to me, the MACD golden cross at the monthly level is the most reliable "big direction signal light."
The monthly chart represents the long-term trend. Once a golden cross appears, it indicates that the target has likely escaped the shadow of a long-term decline and has a high probability of entering an upward cycle. I often say that following the trend is the way to make big money; going against the trend is purely detrimental to your wallet. This step helps you find the "wind mouth."
Step three: find precise buying points; the 60 moving average on the daily chart is key.
Once you are sure about the major trend, it’s time to find specific entry points, and this step directly determines your profit margin. Switch to the daily chart, and I don't look at anything else; I just focus on a 60 moving average, which is my "lifeline."
As long as the target price pulls back to near the 60 moving average and shows a volume-increasing candlestick pattern, don't hesitate, enter the market heavily! Here are two key details to emphasize: first, it must be "near the pullback"; being too far or too close won't work; second, "increased volume" indicates that there is capital supporting this position, which is a strong signal for upward movement. I have verified countless times that the win rate for this buying point can reach over 80%, which is much more reliable than guessing.
Step four: exit scientifically; preserving profits is the real skill.
Many people fail simply because they "don’t know how to sell"; either they run off with a small profit or become insatiably greedy and end up getting trapped. The exit logic of my strategy is very simple: use the 60 moving average as the core standard; if it’s above the line, hold confidently; if it’s below the line, exit decisively. This is broken down into three details, especially the third, which directly determines whether you can preserve profits!
The first detail: when the segment's increase exceeds 30%, sell one-third. This step is to lock in some profits and reduce subsequent risks; even if there is a pullback afterward, it won't be a wasted effort; the second detail: when the segment's increase exceeds 50%, sell another one-third. By this point, your capital is basically safe; even if the remaining position completely retraces, you won't lose your capital; the third detail, and the most crucial point: if you buy in on the same day and the next day the target price directly drops below the 60 moving average, don't hold any illusions and exit the market entirely!
Some people may say that the previous selections have already filtered things out, so the probability of breaking down should be low, right? That's right; the probability is indeed low, but the crypto market is never short of surprises. I once lost all my profits in an instant due to a stroke of luck, and since then I've remembered: preserving capital is more important than anything else.
Let me add one more thing here: even if you decisively exit the market, there is no need to regret it. If the target meets our buying point conditions again later, you can completely buy it back. The market never lacks opportunities; what’s lacking is the capital that can be entered at any time and clear logic.
Finally, let me share a heartfelt message: in the crypto market, the difficulty in making money is never the method, but rather the execution power. My method may seem "clumsy"; it lacks complex analysis and profound techniques, but it excels in stability and replicability. I have seen too many people with perfect strategies falter due to greed or fear, making mistakes step by step.
If you are a beginner, stop looking for so-called "shortcuts" everywhere; mastering and executing this method thoroughly is stronger than anything else; if you are an old player, you can also compare and see if you have fallen into a trap of "execution power."
In the future, I will also share identification techniques for main force washouts and methods for adjusting positions under different market conditions, which are all practical insights I have summarized from real combat. Follow me@男神说币 #加密市场反弹 $BTC $ETH
